Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41876648›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2026

Transmission dynamics of Oropouche virus in Latin America and the Caribbean.

Erika R Manuli, Xinyi Hua, Gabriel C Scachetti, Julia Forato, Ingra M Claro, Geovana M Pereira, Livia Sacchetto, Oscar Cortes-Azuero, Ana Carolina Bernardo, Cláudia F Resende and 23 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Emergence of Oropouche Virus, Venezuela, 2025.Emerging infectious diseases · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors.

Erika R Manuli *Programa de Pós-Graduação em Doenças Infecciosas e Saúde Global, Departamento de Infectologia e Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Xinyi Hua *Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9368-1228
Gabriel C Scachetti *Department of Genetics, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Julia Forato *Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Ingra M ClaroDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Geovana M PereiraInstituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Livia SacchettoDepartment of Genetics, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9716-6899
Oscar Cortes-AzueroDepartment of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Ana Carolina BernardoEUROInstitute, EUROIMMUN Brasil, São Caetano do Sul, Brazil.
Cláudia F ResendeEUROInstitute, EUROIMMUN Brasil, São Caetano do Sul, Brazil.
Natália B S BacarovEUROInstitute, EUROIMMUN Brasil, São Caetano do Sul, Brazil.
Ligia CapuaniInstituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Shirlene T S de LimaDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Ronaldo de JesusInstituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Rodrigo B KatoInstituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9046-1702
Bárbara B SalgadoInstituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Carolina M L SinghInstituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Nadielle C PereiraInstituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.
Renato S ReisInstituto de Saúde e Biotecnologia, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Coari, Brazil.
Sérgio R L AlbuquerqueInstituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil e Diretoria de Ensino e Pesquisa, Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
Richard StantonDivision of Infection and Immunity, Cardiff University School of Medicine, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6799-1182
Vanderson S SampaioInstituto Todos Pela Saúde, São Paulo, Brazil.
Ana I BentoDepartment of Public and Ecosystem Health, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7728-007X
Marielton P CunhaDepartment of Genetics, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2102-631X
Oliver RatmannDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Nuno R FariaInstituto de Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Scott C WeaverDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8016-8556
Pritesh J LalwaniInstituto Leônidas e Maria Deane, Fiocruz Amazônia, Manaus, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2996-0446
Henrik SaljeDepartment of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3626-4254
Allyson G CostaInstituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil e Diretoria de Ensino e Pesquisa, Fundação Hospitalar de Hematologia e Hemoterapia do Amazonas, Manaus, Brazil.
José Luiz Proenca-ModenaDepartment of Genetics, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil. jlmodena@unicamp.br.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4996-3153
Ester C SabinoPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Doenças Infecciosas e Saúde Global, Departamento de Infectologia e Medicina Tropical, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil. sabinoec@usp.br.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2623-5126
William M de SouzaDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA. wmdesouza@uky.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0025-8293

Funding

Wellcome Trust (Wellcome) 226075/Z/22/ZWellcome Trust (Wellcome) 226693/Z/22/ZWellcome Trust (Wellcome) 316633/Z/24/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Oropouche virus (OROV) is an arbovirus endemic to the Amazon region since the 1950s that re-emerged in late 2023, causing a major epidemic across Central and South America. Here we investigated the transmission dynamics of the 2023-2024 epidemic in Manaus City (Amazonas state, Brazil), a major metropolitan hub in the Amazon, and estimated OROV infections across Latin America and the Caribbean. OROV re-emergence in Manaus resulted in an increase of IgG seroprevalence from 11.4% in November 2023 to 25.7% in November 2024. The neutralizing capacity of OROV-specific IgG antibodies from individuals collected before and after the re-emergence demonstrated a median plaque reduction neutralization test 50% titer of 640 against both the historical and contemporary OROV isolates. A historical reconstruction of OROV circulation in Manaus indicated a continuous low-level transmission with two major outbreaks of comparable seasonality and magnitude in 1980-1981 and 2023-2024. We estimate approximately 336,000 OROV infections in the Amazon region under a scenario of continuous endemic transmission without major outbreaks and over 9.4 million OROV infections during major outbreaks from 1960 to 2025. Collectively, our findings provide a comprehensive assessment of OROV transmission in Manaus and contribute to a better understanding of the OROV burden.

Indexed as

Bunyaviridae InfectionsOrthobunyavirusAnimalsAntibodies, ViralBrazilCaribbean RegionDisease OutbreaksHumansImmunoglobulin GLatin AmericaSeroepidemiologic StudiesAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin G

Identifiers

PMID41876648

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.