Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41866991›Full record

ArticleBalkan medical journal2026

Rheumatoid Arthritis Burden in Middle-Aged Adults (40-59 Years): Evidence from the Global Burden of Disease 2021.

Meng Zhao, Jing Shi, Xiaohui Sun, Hongfei Ma, Huimin Yin, Yangyang Liu, Pingmin Wei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Balkan medical journal, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Meng ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Southeast University School of Public Health, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8771-7834
Jing ShiDepartment of Physics, Yunnan University School of Physics and Astronomy, Yunnan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9753-9357
Xiaohui SunClinic of Medical Affairs, Qingdao Hongdao People's Hospital, Shandong, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8188-2006
Hongfei MaDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Southeast University School of Public Health, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4663-2161
Huimin YinDepartment of Clinical Nutrition, Taikang Xianlin Drum Tower Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0009-0000-3262-3809
Yangyang LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Southeast University School of Public Health, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4344-4034
Pingmin WeiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Southeast University School of Public Health, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0009-0007-3334-2372

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a leading cause of disability worldwide. Although global assessments of RA have been reported, age-specific estimates focusing on middle-aged adults [(MAA); 40-59 years] remain limited. Aims: To quantify the global, regional, and temporal burden of RA among MAA from 1990 to 2021 and project age-standardized trends through 2050. Study Design: A population-based descriptive epidemiological study using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 estimates. Methods: GBD 2021 data (1990-2021) were used to estimate age-standardized incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-year rates (ASDR) per 100,000 population among MAA. Temporal trends were assessed using joinpoint regression and expressed as the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Projections to 2050 were generated using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Burden patterns were summarized across sociodemographic index (SDI) quintiles and 21 GBD regions. Results: In 2021, the global ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and ASDR among MAA were 19.53, 368.73, 0.19, and 56.74 per 100,000 population, respectively. From 1990 to 2021, ASIR and ASPR increased (AAPC = 0.24% and 0.43%), ASMR decreased (AAPC = -1.70%), and ASDR showed minimal net change (AAPC = 0.05%). Substantial variation was observed across SDI quintiles and GBD regions; SDI was positively correlated with ASIR and ASPR and negatively correlated with ASMR. Projections to 2050 indicated an ASIR of 19.22, an ASPR of 367.47, an ASMR of 0.111, and an ASDR of 52.18 per 100,000, with widening credible intervals over time. Conclusion: Between 1990 and 2021, the RA burden among MAA was characterized by increasing ASIR and ASPR, declining ASMR, and relatively stable ASDR. Projections suggest that ASIR and ASPR will remain near recent levels, whereas ASMR and ASDR will show lower median values over time.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdultDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalence

Identifiers

PMID41866991
PMCPMC13223384

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.