Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41861215›Full record

ArticleMedicine2026

An analysis of the global, regional, and national burden of liver cirrhosis in older adults from 1990 to 2021.

Bo Hu, Guo Chen, Xian Chen, Qiong Wen, Liang Hu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Bo HuEmergency Department, The Fourth Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, Hunan Province, China.
Guo ChenEmergency Department, The Fourth Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, Hunan Province, China.
Xian ChenDepartment of Cardiovascular, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, Changsha, Hunan Province, China.
Qiong WenJinxing Community Service Center, Changsha, Hunan Province, China.
Liang HuEmergency Department, The Fourth Hospital of Changsha, Changsha, Hunan Province, China.ORCID 0009-0009-2742-6937

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aims to assess the burden of cirrhosis in older people at different socio-economic development levels globally, regionally and nationally from 1990 to 2021. Global, regional and 204 country/territory estimates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to cirrhosis among older people aged 65 years and older, with corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals, were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Additionally, age-standardized prevalence rates for cirrhosis were derived for global, regional, and national levels for 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess the trends from 1990 to 2021 by calculating the Annual Percentage Change and Average Annual Percentage Change, along with their 95% confidence intervals. From 1990 to 2021, the number of deaths due to cirrhosis increased, but the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) declined each year, with an Annual Average Percentage Change of -1.23 (95% CI, -1.3 to -1.16). The highest ASDR and age-standardized DALY rates for cirrhosis in the older adults in 2021 were mainly concentrated in the middle and low-middle socio-demographic index regions. Deaths from cirrhosis in the elderly increased with age in all senior age groups, but DALYs were slightly decreasing with age. As can be seen from the slope index of inequality, the difference in DALYs rates between the countries with the highest and lowest socio-demographic indexes is -445.18 and 76.83 per 100,000 population, respectively. In contrast, the analysis of relative inequality reveals that the health concentration index remains almost constant between 1990 (0.15) and 2021 (0.1). Globally, there has been a gradual increase in the number of deaths and DALYs due to liver cirrhosis in the older adults. It is significantly higher in males than in females. However, there has been a corresponding decline in ASDR and age-standardized DALY rates. This trend is expected to continue until 2030.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthLiver CirrhosisAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceSocioeconomic FactorsGBDliver cirrhosisolder adultssocial burden

Identifiers

PMID41861215
PMCPMC13008217

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.