Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41861022›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

Extreme precipitation reshapes nutrient flows and balance in North America's largest river basin.

Zihao Bian, Shufen Pan, Ge Sun, Steven G McNulty, Xingchen Tony Wang, Changchun Huang, Hanqin Tian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Zihao BianState Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2310-3662
Shufen PanCenter for Earth System Science and Global Sustainability, Schiller Institute for Integrated Science and Society, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7920-1427
Ge SunEastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, Southern Research Station, U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Durham, NC 27713, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0159-1370
Steven G McNultyEastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, Southern Research Station, U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Durham, NC 27713, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4518-5646
Xingchen Tony WangDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5316-789X
Changchun HuangState Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3865-6414
Hanqin TianCenter for Earth System Science and Global Sustainability, Schiller Institute for Integrated Science and Society, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1806-4091

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Extreme precipitation events, intensified by climate change, are increasingly disrupting nutrient dynamics in large river systems worldwide. Beyond altering the magnitude of individual nutrient fluxes, extreme precipitation may fundamentally reshape nutrient composition and stoichiometric balances, with critical implications for aquatic ecosystem health. Here, we apply an integrated data-model framework to assess how these events have altered nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) fluxes across the Mississippi River Basin from 1980 to 2018. We find that extreme rainfall disproportionately increases P export relative to N, driven primarily by enhanced soil erosion and mobilization of particulate-bound nutrients. Concurrent temporal and spatial changes in extreme precipitation regimes have induced declining N:P ratios in headwater streams and cumulative nutrient loads, shifting export stoichiometry toward the Redfield ratio. Therefore, extreme precipitation can increase nutrient fluxes that fuel harmful algal blooms, yet at the same time reduce N:P ratios that may favor less toxic communities. This trade-off calls for watershed management strategies that go beyond managing nutrient quantity alone.

Indexed as

NitrogenNutrientsPhosphorusRainRiversClimate ChangeEcosystemNorth AmericaNitrogenPhosphorus

Identifiers

PMID41861022
PMCPMC13004030

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.