Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41857030›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

A snow-fire bridge mechanism for the 2025 Southern California winter wildfire.

Shizuo Liu, Shineng Hu, Richard Seager

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Shizuo LiuDivision of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. shizuo.liu@duke.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8309-0731
Shineng HuDivision of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. shineng.hu@duke.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3791-5389
Richard SeagerLamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4772-9707

Funding

National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) 80NSSC22K1025National Science Foundation (NSF) AGS-2127684
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In January 2025, a rare and highly destructive wildfire devastated Southern California, becoming the costliest wildfire event in recorded history. The unusual timing of this wildfire suggests the possibility of unique remote, large-scale climatic precursors that differ from those of previous wildfires. Here, through observational analysis and large-ensemble numerical simulations, we identify that western Eurasian snow cover reduction is associated with weather conditions favorable for wildfires in Southern California in December-January, and simulations indicate that this can occur via an atmospheric teleconnection from western Eurasia, across the North Pacific and into North America. Both observations and simulations show that the reduced snow cover over western Eurasia contributes to the typical wintertime western warming-eastern cooling dipole pattern in North America. The main dynamical mechanisms involve downstream propagating Rossby wave trains triggered by the reduced snow cover in western Eurasia, as well as wave-mean flow interaction over the North Pacific. Our study suggests that Eurasian snow cover anomalies can be predictively linked to both subsequent wildfire risk in California and the wintertime North American zonal dipole temperature pattern, highlighting the broader impacts of Eurasian cryosphere variability on remote climate extremes.

Identifiers

PMID41857030
PMCPMC13153211

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.