Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41857024›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Stronger ENSO-induced global SST variability in a warming climate.

Seung-Jae Hong, Geon-Il Kim, Yechul Shin, Tomoki Iwakiri, Jong-Seong Kug

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Seung-Jae HongSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.
Geon-Il KimDepartment of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. gikim8@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1756-9872
Yechul ShinSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4381-697X
Tomoki IwakiriInternational Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3943-0967
Jong-Seong KugSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea. jskug@snu.ac.kr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2251-2579

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a leading mode of interannual climate variability with far-reaching global impacts. Understanding how ENSO-driven changes evolve in a warming climate is essential to project future climate variability. Here, we show that climate models robustly project an amplification of ENSO's influence on global sea surface temperature (SST) under greenhouse warming. This amplification is primarily driven by two factors: changes in El Niño-induced surface wind speed and alterations in the climatological air-sea humidity difference. The former is linked to enhanced atmospheric teleconnections associated with ENSO, while the latter stems from an overall increase in global SST. Our findings suggest that future El Niño events may exert stronger regional climate impacts, not only through intensified atmospheric teleconnections but also by reinforcing local air-sea interactions.

Identifiers

PMID41857024
PMCPMC13168345

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.