Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41854512›Full record

Observational studyThe oncologist2026

Second-line chemotherapy after gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in metastatic pancreatic cancer: comparative outcomes and AI-guided treatment selection.

Letizia Procaccio, Guido Giordano, Federico Nichetti, Michele Milella, Andrea Pretta, Donatella Iacono, Monica Niger, Simona Casalino, Caterina Vivaldi, Ferdinando De Vita and 22 more

Abstract readObservational StudyComparative Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The oncologist, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors.

Letizia ProcaccioMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.
Guido GiordanoDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Policlinico Riuniti di Foggia, Unit of Medical Oncology and Biomolecular Therapy and University of Foggia, Foggia, 71122, Italy.
Federico NichettiMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8044-4207
Michele MilellaDivision of Oncology, Verona University and Hospital Trust (AOUI Verona), Verona, 37126, Italy.
Andrea PrettaMedical Oncology, University Hospital and University of Cagliari, Cagliari, 09124, Italy.
Donatella IaconoDepartment of Oncology, Academic Hospital of Udine ASUFC, Udine, 33100, Italy.
Monica NigerMedical Oncology Department, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, 20133, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-9055-5338
Simona CasalinoInvestigational Cancer Therapeutics Clinical Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata Verona, Verona, 37126, Italy.
Caterina VivaldiDepartment of Translational Research and New Technologies in Medicine and Surgery, University of Pisa, Pisa, 56126, Italy.
Ferdinando De VitaDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Precision Medicine, University of Campania "L. Vanvitelli", Naples, 81100, Italy.
Valeria PuscedduMedical Oncology, University Hospital and University of Cagliari, Cagliari, 09124, Italy.
Matteo LandriscinaDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Policlinico Riuniti di Foggia, Unit of Medical Oncology and Biomolecular Therapy and University of Foggia, Foggia, 71122, Italy.
Giacomo Di PaoloMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.
Sara SperottoMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.
Mariachiara MasucciDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Policlinico Riuniti di Foggia, Unit of Medical Oncology and Biomolecular Therapy and University of Foggia, Foggia, 71122, Italy.
Giampaolo TortoraMedical Oncology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli, IRCCS, Rome, 00136, Italy.
Roberto BiancoMedical Oncology, University of Federico II, Naples, 80138, Italy.
Enrico VasileUnit of Medical Oncology 2, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, 56124, Italy.
Alberto ZaniboniOncology, Fondazione Poliambulanza, Brescia, 25124, Italy.
Chiara Carmen MiceliDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Precision Medicine, University of Campania "L. Vanvitelli", Naples, 81100, Italy.
Elena OngaroDepartment of Medical Oncology, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico (CRO) IRCCS Aviano, Aviano, 33081, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0548-7092
Elisa GiommoniMedical Oncology Division, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi, Firenze, 50134, Italy.
Gabriele TinèBiostatistics for Clinical Research Unit, Epidemiology and Data Science Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milan, 20133, Italy.
Giulia BarsottiMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.
Silvia MarchesiMedical Oncology Department, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, 20133, Italy.
Mariacristina Di MarcoDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Bologna, 40126, Italy.
Silvia OrtolaniOspedale P. Pederzoli, Casa di cura, Peschiera del Garda, 37019, Italy.
Giuseppe AprileDepartment of Oncology, Academic Hospital of Udine ASUFC, Udine, 33100, Italy.
Mario ScartozziMedical Oncology, University Hospital and University of Cagliari, Cagliari, 09124, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5977-5546
Francesca BergamoMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.
Davide MelisiDivision of Oncology, Verona University and Hospital Trust (AOUI Verona), Verona, 37126, Italy.
Sara LonardiMedical Oncology 1, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padova, 35128, Italy.

Funding

Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (AIRC) 30711Italian Ministry of University and Research -M4C2- I1.3Italian Ministry of University and Research PE_00000019Ricerca Corrente funding from the Italian Ministry of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInternational guidelines recommend 5FU/LV, Nal-IRI + 5FU/LV, FOLFIRI, FOLFOX, or (m)FOLFIRINOX as second-line (2L) chemotherapy for patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC) after failure of gemcitabine+Nab-paclitaxel (GnP). However, a head-to-head comparison has not been performed. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe conducted an observational cohort study of consecutive mPDAC patients treated with 2L chemotherapy after GnP failure at 41 Italian centers. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Interpretable artificial intelligence methods were applied to optimize treatment allocation. A counterfactual Cox model was trained on baseline characteristics to estimate 12-month PFS under each regimen, and an Optimal Policy Tree (OPT) was derived to generate treatment recommendations, validated in a test set. Net-benefit curves evaluated clinical utility.

resultsAmong 704 eligible patients, 56 (8.0%) received 5FU/LV, 153 (21.7%) FOLFIRI, 209 (29.7%) FOLFOX, 209 (29.7%) Nal-IRI + 5FU/LV, and 77 (10.9%) FOLFIRINOX. FOLFIRINOX was associated with the longest PFS and OS. Median PFS was comparable among doublets (3.5 months FOLFOX, 3.6 FOLFIRI, 3.3 Nal-IRI + 5FU/LV), though Nal-IRI + 5FU/LV showed a long-term benefit. The OPT recommended Nal-IRI + 5FU/LV for patients with head/body tumors, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) 0, or CA19.9 < 109 U/mL in those with PS > 0. Net-benefit analysis showed that the OPT consistently outperformed uniform treatment strategies, achieving a 2.5 percentage-point net benefit at a threshold probability of ∼9%.

conclusionsFOLFIRINOX appears the most effective option for carefully selected, fit patients eligible for 2L chemotherapy after GnP failure. Interpretable artificial intelligence-derived treatment policies may provide superior net clinical benefit compared to uniform approaches and guide individualized therapy, warranting integration with upcoming targeted strategies such as RAS inhibitors.

Indexed as

AlbuminsAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCarcinoma, Pancreatic DuctalDeoxycytidinePaclitaxelPancreatic NeoplasmsAgedArtificial IntelligenceFemaleFluorouracilGemcitabineHumansIrinotecanLeucovorinMaleMiddle Aged130-nm albumin-bound paclitaxelAlbuminsDeoxycytidineFluorouracilGemcitabineIrinotecanLeucovorinPaclitaxelFOLFIRINOXFOLFOXinterpretable artificial intelligenceNal-IRI + 5FU/LVpancreatic cancersecond-line chemotherapy

Identifiers

PMID41854512
PMCPMC13014169

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.