Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41851883›Full record

ArticleDiabetology & metabolic syndrome2026

Predictive value of six first-trimester insulin resistance indices for gestational diabetes mellitus and oral glucose tolerance test results.

Qianruo Pan, Zhuhua Cai, Dongmei Lin, Liqiong Chen, Junmiao Xiang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetology & metabolic syndrome, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

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0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Qianruo PanDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Zhuhua CaiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Dongmei LinDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China.
Liqiong ChenDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China. zjraclq@163.com.
Junmiao XiangDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China. xiaobarzi@sina.com.

Funding

Foundation of Rui'an Science and Technology Bureau MS2023011Foundation of Wenzhou Municipal Health Commission 2025034
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionGestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is closely related to insulin resistance (IR) and is usually diagnosed in mid-pregnancy, limiting opportunities for early risk identification. We evaluated six simple first-trimester IR indices—triglyceride-glucose index (TyG), triglyceride-glucose–body mass index (TyG-BMI), triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C), metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), Zhejiang University index (ZJU), and hepatic steatosis index (HSI)—for predicting GDM and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) glucose levels.

methodsIn this retrospective study of 2122 Chinese pregnant women, GDM was diagnosed using a 75-g OGTT at 24–28 weeks. Fasting blood samples in early pregnancy were used to calculate IR indices. Logistic regression assessed associations with GDM and OGTT results; ROC analyses evaluated predictive performance.

resultsAll indices were positively associated with GDM and OGTT measures, except HSI, which correlated with fasting and 1-hour glucose only. TyG-BMI showed the best discrimination for GDM (AUC 0.65; 95% CI 0.617–0.683), and METS-IR performed best for fasting glucose (AUC 0.736). Indices generally predicted fasting glucose more accurately than postprandial glucose or overall GDM. Associations were linear and consistent across subgroups.

conclusionsFirst-trimester TyG, TyG-BMI, TG/HDL-C, METS-IR, ZJU, and HSI are independent predictors of GDM and correlate with OGTT glucose, particularly fasting glucose.

Indexed as

First-trimesterGDMHSIMETS-IRTG/HDL-CTyGTyG-BMIZJU

Identifiers

PMID41851883
PMCPMC13112625

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.