Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41851416›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Unreported Rift Valley fever virus circulation during 2023-2024 El Niño event detected by slaughterhouse-based surveillance in southern Kenya.

Keli Nicole Gerken, Abraham Rereu, Victor Mutai, Alice Kiyong'a, Richard Rasto Olubowa, Elizabeth Anne Jessie Cook, Matthew Baylis, Reuben Mwangi, Frederick Sururu, Andrew Stringer and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Keli Nicole GerkenInstitute of Infection, Veterinary, and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. kelingerken@gmail.com.
Abraham RereuInternational Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Victor MutaiKajiado County Department of Veterinary Services, Oloitokitok Sub-County, Kajiado, Kenya.
Alice Kiyong'aInternational Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Richard Rasto OlubowaInternational Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Elizabeth Anne Jessie CookInternational Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Matthew BaylisInstitute of Infection, Veterinary, and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Reuben MwangiInternational Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
Frederick SururuKajiado County Department of Veterinary Services, Oloitokitok Sub-County, Kajiado, Kenya.
Andrew StringerInstitute of Infection, Veterinary, and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Eric M FèvreInstitute of Infection, Veterinary, and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.

Funding

CGIAR Trust Fund Loitoktiok One Health InitiativeWellcome Trust 223502/Z/21/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a zoonotic arbovirus, and livestock cases are often underreported in endemic countries due to reliance on passive clinical surveillance. During the 2023-2024 El Niño event, Kenya experienced widespread flooding, but no RVF outbreaks were reported in the southern regions. We implemented slaughterhouse-based surveillance in southern Kenya from May 2023-June 2024, using five consecutive cross-sectional surveys. Cattle, sheep, and goats were tested for anti-RVFV IgG and IgM antibodies, with concurrent recording of post-mortem lesions. Using age estimates from dentition, catalytic models estimated the force of infection (FOI) over time and spatial analysis assessed the Loitokitok sub-county for hotspots. Among 955 animals, 10.2% were IgG-positive, with seroprevalence and FOI increasing after El Niño rains, reaching 22.6% by May 2024. Six animals (0.6%) were IgM-positive, indicating recent infection, with cases detected in 3/5 sampling periods, including before the rains. All recently infected IgM-positive animals were deemed fit for slaughter and none had lesions. Adult animals in endemic areas, void of clinical and pathological signs, may therefore play a role in the silent spread and maintenance of RVFV. Slaughterhouse-based surveillance offers a practical and scalable platform for improving RVF detection and monitoring livestock in endemic regions.

Indexed as

El Nino-Southern OscillationRift Valley FeverRift Valley fever virusAbattoirsAnimalsAntibodies, ViralCattleCross-Sectional StudiesDisease OutbreaksGoatsImmunoglobulin MKenyaSeroepidemiologic StudiesSheepAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin M

Identifiers

PMID41851416
PMCPMC13136298

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.