Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41851367›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

High-ambition climate action in all sectors can achieve a 59% greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Korea by 2035.

Hyuntae Choi, Sangin Park, Haewon McJeon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Hyuntae ChoiGraduate School of Public Administration, Seoul National University, Seoul, 08826, Korea.
Sangin ParkGraduate School of Public Administration, Seoul National University, Seoul, 08826, Korea. sanpark@snu.ac.kr.
Haewon McJeonGraduate School of Green Growth and Sustainability, Korea Advanced Institute of Science & Technology, Daejeon, 34141, Korea. hmcjeon@kaist.ac.kr.

Funding

National Research Foundation of Korea Grant: RS-2025-02312954
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Under the Paris Agreement’s ratchet mechanism, countries are expected to regularly strengthen their climate commitments, with 2035 emerging as the next critical milestone. For Korea–one of the world’s largest emitters of CO2–the central challenge is not only to meet its 2030 nationally determined contribution (NDC), but to define a credible and substantially more ambitious pathway for 2035. In this study, we employ an integrated assessment model to project Korea’s greenhouse-gas emissions trajectory under current policy frameworks, based on the First National Framework Plan for Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth, the Eleventh Basic Plan for Long-term Electricity Supply and Demand, and other officially announced sectoral policies across the economy. We further construct an enhanced policy scenario that reflects highly ambitious yet technically viable and institutionally grounded measures across all major sectors. Our results show that current policies reduce emissions by 35% below net 2018 levels by 2035 (30–41%), even falling short of the 2030 NDC. By contrast, the enhanced scenario achieves a 59% reduction (55–64%) without reliance on international offsets. This deeper reduction is driven by an accelerated coal phase-out, rapid deployment of offshore wind, tighter constraints on lifetime extensions of blast furnace capacity, a ban on new internal combustion engine vehicle sales by 2040, and the gradual replacement of fossil-based heating with heat pumps. These findings provide system-wide evidence that a more ambitious 2035 pathway is feasible when existing policy and institutional constraints are explicitly accounted for, contributing to ongoing discussions on Korea’s post-2030 mitigation strategy.

Indexed as

2035 nationally determined contributionGreenhouse gas mitigationIntegrated assessment modelingRepublic of KoreaSectoral climate policy

Identifiers

PMID41851367
PMCPMC13136420

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.