Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41850482›Full record

ArticleChest2026

Association of New and Growing Nodules With Malignancy in Follow-Up Screening for Lung Cancer: A Cohort Study.

Kathryn J Long, Ralph Ward, Ella Kazerooni, Paul Pinsky, Robert Young, Gerard Silvestri

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chest, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. CellVizioJournal of Cancer · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Kathryn J LongCleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH.
Ralph WardThoracic Oncology Research Group, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC.
Ella KazerooniMichigan Medicine/University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI; Office of Clinical Information Management, University of Michigan Medical Group, Ann Arbor, MI.
Paul PinskyNational Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Robert YoungUniversity of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Gerard SilvestriThoracic Oncology Research Group, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC. Electronic address: silvestri@musc.edu.

Funding

Pulmonary Focused Foundations in Innovation and Scholarship (PuFFInS)T32HL144470 · NHLBI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI Carol A. Feghali-Bostwick · 2019 to 2026
$2.6M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 CA999999NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL144470
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPulmonary nodules frequently are detected on low-dose CT (LDCT) imaging screening for lung cancer, although most are benign. Nodules detected on follow-up scans may be new or may show interval growth since the baseline screening. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the magnitude of the risk of malignancy among new or growing nodules detected on follow-up LDCT imaging? STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsParticipants in the LDCT imaging screening arm of the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial with a baseline screening and at least 1 follow-up screening were included. The primary exposure of interest was nodules that were new or growing on the first follow-up LDCT imaging screening (T1). Other covariates included age, sex, family history of lung cancer, presence of emphysema, nodule size, attenuation, lobe location, and spiculation. The primary outcome was lung cancer diagnosis within 2 years of T1.

resultsAmong 24,604 participants with baseline and T1 follow-up LDCT imaging, 6,952 participants showed nodules present on T1, from which lung cancer was diagnosed within 2 years in 208 participants. Compared with preexisting nodules with no growth, new nodules were associated with nearly 4-fold greater odds of a lung cancer diagnosis within 2 years (OR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.51-6.05; P < .0001); preexisting nodules with growth were associated with nearly 20-fold increased odds (OR, 19.7; 95% CI, 13.6-28.4; P < .0001).

interpretationOur results show that new and growing nodules detected on follow-up LDCT imaging are associated strongly with the risk of malignancy. The magnitude of these risks is substantially greater than for most other well-established risk factors.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsMultiple Pulmonary NodulesSolitary Pulmonary NoduleTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk Factorslung cancerpulmonary nodulescreening

Identifiers

PMID41850482
PMCPMC13474090

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.