Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41849612›Full record

ArticleScience advances2026

Peat fires contribute disproportionately to Siberian fire carbon emissions.

Amin Khairoun, Philippe Ciais, Thu Hang Nguyen, Chunjing Qiu, Chengliuhui Fang, Filipe Aires, Sander Veraverbeke, Clement J F Delcourt, Bo Zheng, Emilio Chuvieco

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Amin KhairounUniversidad de Alcalá, Environmental Remote Sensing Research Group, Department of Geology, Geography and the Environment, Alcalá de Henares, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-5757-5126
Philippe CiaisLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 1572 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0001-8560-4943
Thu Hang NguyenLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, UMR 1572 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4061-8767
Chunjing QiuResearch Center for Global Change and Ecological Forecasting, School of Ecological and Environmental Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9951-3951
Chengliuhui FangResearch Center for Global Change and Ecological Forecasting, School of Ecological and Environmental Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0009-0003-2099-4081
Filipe AiresLIRA, CNRS/Observatoire de Paris/Sorbonne University, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-9426-866X
Sander VeraverbekeFaculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1362-5125
Clement J F DelcourtFaculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9663-8695
Bo ZhengShenzhen Key Laboratory of Ecological Remediation and Carbon Sequestration, Institute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen 518055, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8344-3445
Emilio ChuviecoUniversidad de Alcalá, Environmental Remote Sensing Research Group, Department of Geology, Geography and the Environment, Alcalá de Henares, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-5618-4759

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Arctic and boreal fires are critical threats to terrestrial carbon reservoirs, particularly peat fires that trigger long-term irrecoverable carbon losses and permafrost thaw. However, the occurrence of peat fires and their associated carbon emissions remain highly uncertain. 30-meter satellite-derived maps of burned area and peatland coverage reveal that Siberian fires burned over 107 million hectares during the 2001 to 2023 period, with peat fires accounting for up to one-third of this area. These peat fires emitted 1.24 ± 0.06 petagram of carbon, largely exceeding conventional datasets' estimates. We found that anomalous dry and warm climatic conditions represent the primary driver of extreme peat fire seasons and that overwintering of 2020's late-season peat fires substantially contributed to extensive fires of 2021. Peat fires, especially those in Arctic regions, exhibit a pronounced sensitivity to extreme weather, posing a critical threat to the stability of permafrost peatlands and their large carbon stocks.

Identifiers

PMID41849612
PMCPMC12998507

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.