Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41846685›Full record

ArticleERJ open research2026

Long-term cardiovascular risk after severe exacerbation of COPD: a population-based cohort study.

Yinqi Ding, Jingcen Hu, Canqing Yu, Dianjianyi Sun, Pei Pei, Ling Yang, Yiping Chen, Huaidong Du, Zengzhi Zhang, Maxim Barnard and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ERJ open research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Yinqi DingDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Jingcen HuDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Canqing YuDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0019-0014
Dianjianyi SunDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3651-6693
Pei PeiPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness & Response, Beijing, China.
Ling YangClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Yiping ChenClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Huaidong DuClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Zengzhi ZhangShinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao, China.
Maxim BarnardClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Junshi ChenChina National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing, China.
Zhengming ChenClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, UK.
Liming LiDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Jun LvDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7916-3870

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Exacerbation of COPD (ECOPD) has been linked to increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk within the first year, yet longer term risk is unclear. We aimed to investigate the short-term and long-term CVD risks after severe ECOPD. Methods: Patients with self-reported or spirometry-detected COPD at baseline and patients with newly documented COPD during follow-up were included from the China Kadoorie Biobank. Multiple data sources were used to collect information on ECOPD hospitalisation and CVD incidence during follow-up. Time-dependent Cox regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for each risk period following ECOPD compared to the baseline period. Results: Of the 46 514 patients included, 48.2% had screen-detected COPD, 26.2% had self-reported COPD and 25.6% had newly documented COPD. During a median 11-year follow-up, 1185 acute myocardial infarction, 5778 other ischaemic heart disease, 1078 heart failure, 2390 pulmonary heart disease, 4989 ischaemic stroke and 1648 intracerebral haemorrhage cases occurred. Post-ECOPD risks of all outcomes were prominently elevated, with first-week hazard ratios (95% CI) of 8.60 (5.40-13.70), 6.68 (5.16-8.65), 10.98 (6.74-17.89), 24.76 (19.40-31.60), 3.11 (2.16-4.48) and 2.40 (1.27-4.54), respectively. The risks diminished thereafter but could persist for 6 years or longer. All three categories of patients with COPD faced increased risks of most outcomes, with patients with COPD at baseline bearing higher post-ECOPD risks of other ischaemic heart disease and pulmonary heart disease. Conclusion: CVD risks increased considerably after ECOPD, with risks of cardiac diseases and ischaemic stroke increased for 6 years or longer. Patients with screen-detected COPD had a similar burden of ECOPD and subsequent CVD to patients with doctor-diagnosed COPD.

Identifiers

PMID41846685
PMCPMC12991000

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.