Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41845167›Full record

SynthesisDrugs & aging2026

Efficacy and Safety of DOACs in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and History of Falls or Risk of Falls: The Liverpool AF-Falls Project. A Systematic Review and Bayesian Network Meta-analysis.

Thibaut Galvain, Ruaraidh Hill, Sarah Donegan, Robert Wilkinson, Gregory Y H Lip, Gabriela Czanner

Abstract readSystematic ReviewNetwork Meta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Drugs & aging, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Thibaut GalvainSchool of Computer Science and Mathematics, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, UK. t.galvain@2019.ljmu.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-0412-249X
Ruaraidh HillLiverpool Reviews and Implementation Group, Health Data Science, University of Liverpool and The Royal Liverpool and Broadgreen University Hospitals, Liverpool Health Partners, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2801-0505
Sarah DoneganDepartment of Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1709-2290
Robert WilkinsonSchool of Computer Science and Mathematics, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8159-6445
Gregory Y H LipLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7566-1626
Gabriela CzannerSchool of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1157-2093

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeNon-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are the preferred treatment over vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF patients at risk or with history of falls seldom receive anticoagulants due to the bleeding risk. The objective was to assess the efficacy and safety of DOACs in AF patients with history or risk of falls.

methodsA systematic literature review was conducted until October 31, 2024. Primary outcomes were stroke/systemic embolism (SSE) and major bleeding (MB). Bayesian network meta-analyses were conducted. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% credible intervals (CrI) quantified the effect of drugs; cumulative ranking curves (SUCRA) were used to determine their hierarchy.

resultsOut of 961 articles, 10 articles (5 randomized controlled trials and 5 observational studies) were retained for quantitative synthesis. Risk of bias was moderate to serious. In reducing the risk of SSE compared with VKAs, apixaban had a SUCRA of 0.87 (HR 0.72, 95% CrI 0.59-0.96), followed by rivaroxaban (HR 0.80; 95% CrI 0.63-0.99; SUCRA 0.68), edoxaban (HR 0.96; 95% CrI 0.48-1.91; SUCRA 0.38) and dabigatran (HR 0.92; 95% CrI 0.68-1.28; SUCRA 0.37). In reducing the risk of MB, compared with VKAs, edoxaban had a SUCRA of 0.86 (HR 0.66; 95% CrI 0.50-0.92) followed by apixaban (HR 0.67; 95% CrI 0.55-0.87; SUCRA 0.83), and dabigatran (HR 0.79; 95% CrI 0.64-1.00; SUCRA 0.54).

conclusionsDOACs appear to have different efficacy and safety profiles and overall are preferable over VKAs in patients with AF with a history or risk of falls. Because of bias, further research is warranted.

trial registrationPROSPERO identifier no. CRD42020201086.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsAnticoagulantsAtrial FibrillationAdministration, OralBayes TheoremHemorrhageHumansStrokeAnticoagulants

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.