Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41837912›Full record

ArticleJACC. Advances2026

Trends and Predictors of Premature Termination of Cardiovascular Trials: A Systematic Review.

Frederick Berro Rivera, Nathan Ross B Bantayan, John Vincent Magalong, Chieh-Mei Tsai, Nicole Tesoro, Polyn Luz S Pine, Neill Steven Cainglet Cachuela, Sung Whoy Cha, Christine J Lin, Vuyisile T Nkomo and 5 more

Abstract read
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Article in JACC. Advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Frederick Berro RiveraDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Nathan Ross B BantayanUniversity of the Philippines College of Medicine, Manila, Philippines.
John Vincent MagalongCollege of Medicine, San Beda University, Manila, Philippines.
Chieh-Mei TsaiDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Nicole TesoroDepartment of Medicine, NYC Health + Hospitals/South Brooklyn Health, New York, New York, USA.
Polyn Luz S PineAteneo School of Medicine and Public Health, Manila, Philippines.
Neill Steven Cainglet CachuelaFaculty of Medicine and Surgery, University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines.
Sung Whoy ChaCebu Institute of Medicine, Cebu City, Philippines.
Christine J LinRush Medical College, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Vuyisile T NkomoDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Mandeep SinghDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Naveen L PereiraDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Kyla Lara-BreitingerDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Mohamad AlkhouliDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Mayra GuerreroDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: guerrero.mayra@mayo.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPremature termination of cardiovascular trials undermines evidence generation and wastes resources.

objectivesThe objective of the study was to evaluate trends, predictors, and recruitment adequacy among prematurely terminated cardiovascular trials.

methodsWe analyzed adult cardiovascular trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (2000-2025). Trial characteristics, early termination, and reported reasons were extracted. Computed low recruitment was defined as actual enrollment <80% of target. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent predictors of termination.

resultsAmong 19,191 trials, 2,202 (11.5%) were prematurely terminated. Low recruitment was the most common reported reason (946/2,202, 42.9%), yet 625/1,571 (39.9%) underenrolled trials did not report recruitment failure. Termination peaked in 2020 (155/1,033, 15.0%). Termination risk was the highest in early-phase trials (phases 1/2 or 2; 371/2,325, 16.0%) and lowest for behavioral/lifestyle interventions (146/2,998, 4.9%) and female-only trials (23/475, 4.8%). In multivariable analysis, small sample size (1-100 participants; OR: 3.37; 95% CI: 2.98-3.80) and later-phase trials (phase 2/3 or 3; OR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.41-1.97) were associated with higher odds of termination, whereas behavioral/lifestyle interventions (OR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.32-0.49), crossover designs (OR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.42-0.65), and non-U.S. government funding (OR: 0.50; 95% CI: 0.31-0.78) were protective.

conclusionsMore than 1 in 10 cardiovascular trials terminate early, most often due to poor recruitment, which is frequently under-reported. Improved feasibility assessment and transparent reporting are needed. (Trends and Predictors of Premature Termination of Cardiovascular Trials: A Systematic Review; CRD420251155096).

Indexed as

cardiovascular diseasesclinical trialsClinicalTrials.govearly terminationpatient recruitment

Identifiers

PMID41837912
PMCPMC13131426

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.