ArticleFrontiers in pediatrics2026
Development of a nomogram for predicting 2-year native liver survival in biliary atresia using dynamic liver function indicators.
Article in Frontiers in pediatrics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Objectives: To develop and validate a nomogram based on dynamic liver function indexes for predicting native liver survival (NLS) in children with biliary atresia (BA) at 2 years post-Kasai surgery, providing clinicians with a basis for individualized treatment decisions and optimizing early intervention strategies for high-risk children. Methods: Children with type III BA were categorized by their 2-year NLS status. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of NLS and to construct a nomogram model. Model performance was evaluated using internal bootstrap validation (1,000 resamples) and a training-test split (7:3), with discrimination assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration by calibration curves. Results: A total of 134 children with type III BA were included. Univariate analysis identified significant associations between prognosis and the following: age at surgery, jaundice clearance failure, liver fibrosis stage, and 3-month postoperative levels of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), serum albumin (ALB), and aspartate aminotransferase and platelet ratio index (APRI) (all Conclusions: This study developed and validated a nomogram integrating dynamic liver function indicators, effectively predicting 2-year NLS in children with BA. The model provides a reliable quantitative basis for individualized treatment decisions and early intervention, with strong clinical applicability, particularly in resource-limited settings. It offers a foundation for optimizing early intervention strategies for high-risk children.
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