Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41833807›Full record

ArticleChest2026

Integrating Deep Learning of Low-Dose CT Imaging With Clinical Data for Lung Cancer Risk Prediction.

Renzo Phellan Aro, Stephen Lam, Matthew T Warkentin, Geoffrey Liu, Brenda Diergaarde, David O Wilson, Jian-Min Yuan, Hamad Al-Sawaihey, Kiera R Murison, Elham Khodayari-Moez and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chest, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Renzo Phellan AroProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Stephen LamDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; Department of Integrative Oncology, British Columbia Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Matthew T WarkentinProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Oncology, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Geoffrey LiuDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Brenda DiergaardeDepartment of Human Genetics, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, PA; Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Program, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA.
David O WilsonCancer Epidemiology and Prevention Program, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA.
Jian-Min YuanDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, PA; Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Program, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA.
Hamad Al-SawaiheyRoyal Cornwall Hospitals NHS Trust, Truro, England.
Kiera R MurisonProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System, Toronto, ON, Canada; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Elham Khodayari-MoezProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Yonathan BrhaneProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Rafael MezaDepartment of Integrative Oncology, British Columbia Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Renelle MyersDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Rayjean J HungProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System, Toronto, ON, Canada; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. Electronic address: rayjean.hung@lunenfeld.ca.

Funding

VECTOR CORE FACILITYP30CA047904 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CHRISTOPHER J. BAKKENIST · 1988 to 2026
$158.0M
Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk AssessmentU19CA203654 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI Rayjean J. Hung · 2017 to 2026
$23.7M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA047904NCI NIH HHS U19 CA203654
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow-dose CT (LDCT) imaging screening reduces lung cancer mortality, the leading cause of cancer deaths globally. Segmentation-free deep learning (DL) models such as Sybil can improve screening efficiency but require extensive validation and possible improvement. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can the integration of DL based on LDCT scans and clinical data improve lung cancer risk prediction? STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsRetrospective cohort data from 4 different screening programs, 1 used for model training and 3 used for external validation. Data were collected between 2002 and 2021. The median follow-up period was 7 years. All participants had a history of either current or former smoking, with at least 10 pack-years of smoking or who smoked over 20 years. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated for lung cancer risk within 1 to 6 years, stratified by pulmonary nodule presence and size. Key clinical and epidemiologic factors were evaluated for their added predictive value.

resultsThis analysis used 52,482 LDCT scan series from 22,469 participants. Sybil's AUC ranged from 0.93 in year 1 and reduced to 0.79 in year 6 in the independent cohorts. The predictive performance was suboptimal in the absence of documented nodules (AUC, 0.64) and for small nodules (AUC, 0.61) in year 6. Our new model, Sybil-Epi, trained with baseline scans, achieved higher predictive performance (AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.81-0.85) compared with Sybil (AUC, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.78-0.82) in year 6. The difference is most notable when nodules are absent. Sybil-Epi's AUC was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.70-0.82) and Sybil's AUC was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.57-0.70).

interpretationOur results show that Sybil performs better for short-term lung cancer risk, but the predictive accuracy was suboptimal when nodules were absent. Our integrated Sybil-Epi model with DL and clinical and epidemiologic factors significantly improved model predictive performance.

Indexed as

Deep LearningEarly Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRadiation DosageRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC Curvedeep learninglow-dose CTlung cancerrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID41833807
PMCPMC13470853

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.