Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41827748›Full record

ReviewCancers2026

Circulating Tumour DNA After Neoadjuvant Therapy in Non-Metastatic Colon Cancer: A Systematic Review and Implications for Surgical Decision-Making.

Mahmoud M Salama, Charles Eddershaw, Hugo C Temperley, Arvin Kumar Perthiani, John O Larkin, Brian J Mehigan, Dara O Kavanagh, Paul H McCormick, David Gallagher, Charles Gillham and 2 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Cancers, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Mahmoud M SalamaSchool of Medicine, Trinity College Dublin, D02 PN40 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0009-0008-7113-1645
Charles EddershawDepartment of Surgery, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St Stephen's Green, D02 YN77 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0009-0009-0716-3703
Hugo C TemperleyTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0001-9151-3431
Arvin Kumar PerthianiDepartment of Surgery, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St Stephen's Green, D02 YN77 Dublin, Ireland.
John O LarkinTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.
Brian J MehiganTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.
Dara O KavanaghDepartment of Surgery, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, 123 St Stephen's Green, D02 YN77 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0001-9535-0844
Paul H McCormickTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.
David GallagherTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.
Charles GillhamTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.
Emily HarroldTrinity St James Cancer Institute, St James Hospital, D08 NHY1 Dublin, Ireland.
Michael E KellySchool of Medicine, Trinity College Dublin, D02 PN40 Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0002-0757-6411

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionNeoadjuvant systemic and immunotherapy strategies in non-metastatic colon cancer have demonstrated high pathological response rates, raising interest in surgery-sparing approaches. Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is an emerging biomarker for treatment response and minimal residual disease, but its role in guiding surgical omission in colon cancer remains unclear. This systematic review evaluates the diagnostic and prognostic accuracy of ctDNA in predicting pathological response following neoadjuvant therapy in non-metastatic colon cancer.

methodsA systematic review was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. PubMed, Embase/MEDLINE, Scopus, and the Cochrane Register were searched from inception to 21 October 2025. Eligible studies included adults with non-metastatic colon cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy who had serial ctDNA assessment prior to surgery.

resultsThree cohort studies comprising 100 patients met inclusion criteria. Baseline ctDNA detection ranged from 42% to 84%. Across studies, ctDNA clearance following neoadjuvant therapy was consistently associated with major pathological response or pathological complete response, whereas persistent ctDNA strongly predicted residual viable tumour at resection. In the largest prospective cohort, 5 of 26 patients (19%) achieved ctDNA clearance prior to surgery; all were pathological responders, while 19 of 26 patients (73%) with persistent ctDNA demonstrated no pathological response. No study reported pathological complete response in the presence of persistently positive ctDNA. No prospective trial formally evaluated ctDNA-guided surgical omission.

conclusionsCurrent evidence does not support the use of ctDNA alone to guide omission of surgery after neoadjuvant therapy in non-metastatic colon cancer-even in patients who show complete pathological response. While persistent ctDNA reliably identifies patients with residual disease, ctDNA clearance lacks sufficient positive predictive value to safely forego surgery. Prospective trials with standardised ctDNA platforms and predefined non-operative management protocols are required before ctDNA-guided organ preservation can be recommended.

Indexed as

circulating tumour DNAcolon cancerctDNAdMMRimmunotherapynon-operative managementwatch and wait

Identifiers

PMID41827748
PMCPMC12984180

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.