Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41824846›Full record

Observational studyMedicine2026

Emerging trends and disparities in mortality due to coexisting atrial fibrillation and sepsis: A US nationwide observational study (1999-2023).

Masab Ali, Rehan Naseer Ahmad, Muhammad Hassan, Moiz Ul Haq Hashmi, Madiha Kiyani, Ahmad Zia, Jawaria Firdous, Muhammad Husnain Ahmad, Ali Imran, Amina Jamil and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Masab AliDepartment of Internal Medicine, Punjab Medical College/Faisalabad Medical University, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0007-8599-6861
Rehan Naseer AhmadDepartment of Internal Medicine, King Edward Medical University, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0006-8421-7232
Muhammad HassanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Punjab Medical College/Faisalabad Medical University, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0006-6747-7980
Moiz Ul Haq HashmiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nishtar Medical University, Multan, Punjab, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0006-5898-9351
Madiha KiyaniMedStar Georgetown University Hospital, Baltimore, MD.ORCID 0009-0007-8812-9958
Ahmad ZiaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Punjab Medical College/Faisalabad Medical University, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.
Jawaria FirdousDepartment of Internal Medicine, Punjab Medical College/Faisalabad Medical University, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan.ORCID 0009-0009-0228-3247
Muhammad Husnain AhmadDepartment of Medicine, Tentishev Satkynbai Memorial Asian Medical Institute, Gagarina, Kant, Kyrgyzstan.ORCID 0009-0006-5248-0749
Ali ImranDepartment of Internal Medicine, King Edward Medical University, Punjab, Pakistan.
Amina JamilDepartment of Internal Medicine, Aziz Fatimah Medical College, Punjab, Pakistan.
Humza SaeedDepartment of Internal Medicine, Rawalpindi Medical University, Rawalpindi, Punjab, Pakistan.
Muhammad RiyyanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Medical Research Center, Liaquat University of Medical and Health Sciences, Jamshoro, Pakistan.ORCID 0000-0002-0995-4295

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Sepsis patients are highly susceptible to atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter due to the proinflammatory and adrenergic milieu, which precipitates arrhythmogenesis, especially in vulnerable individuals. Understanding mortality trends and disparities in this population is essential for targeted interventions. We analyzed US death certificates from the Center of Disease Control Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database for individuals aged ≥25 years who died between 1999 and 2023 with both sepsis and AF listed as causes. We calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs), which measure changes in death rates over time while accounting for differences in age distribution, and annual percent change to evaluate yearly trends in these rates across demographic groups stratified by year, sex, age group, race/ethnicity, geographic region, and urbanization status. A total of 2,40,222 deaths involved both AF/atrial flutter and sepsis. The overall AAMR increased from 2.0 per 1,00,000 in 1999 to a peak of 7.9 in 2021 (annual percent change +5.6% through 2018, accelerating to +12.6% through 2021), with a slight decline to 7.1 by 2023. Mortality was consistently higher in men than women, older adults, residents of nonmetropolitan areas, and the US South. By race/ethnicity, non-Hispanic White and Black individuals had the highest AAMRs, followed by American Indian/Alaska Native, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander populations. Deaths involving AF and sepsis have risen substantially over the past 4 decades, with sharp increases in recent years and persistent disparities by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and geography. These findings underscore the need for integrated arrhythmia-sepsis management strategies, enhanced access to critical care in underserved regions, and equity-focused public health interventions to mitigate mortality.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHealth Status DisparitiesSepsisAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited Statesarrhythmiasatrial fibrillationdisparitiesgender trendsmortalityracial trendssepsis

Identifiers

PMID41824846
PMCPMC12991501

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.