Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41813861›Full record

SynthesisNature ecology & evolution2026

Widespread ecological responses and cascading effects of the 2021 western North American heatwave.

Julia K Baum, Margaret A Slein, Josef C Garen, Zihaohan Sang, Sandra Emry, Katie J A Goodwin, Courtney G Collins, Jayme Lewthwaite, Michelle Tseng, Sean T Michaletz and 4 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Nature ecology & evolution, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Julia K BaumDepartment of Biology, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. baum@uvic.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9827-1612
Margaret A SleinBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2499-5404
Josef C GarenBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Zihaohan SangDepartment of Computer Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4149-7271
Sandra EmryBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6882-2105
Katie J A GoodwinBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0660-9573
Courtney G CollinsBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5455-172X
Jayme LewthwaiteDepartment of Biology, Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Michelle TsengBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4306-507X
Sean T MichaletzBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2158-6525
A Cole BurtonBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8799-3847
Christopher D G HarleyBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4099-943X
Diane S SrivastavaBiodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4541-5595
2021 Western North American Heat Dome Data Consortium

Funding

Gouvernement du Canada | Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (Conseil de Recherches en Sciences Naturelles et en Génie du Canada) RGPAS-522477-2018Gouvernement du Canada | Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (Conseil de Recherches en Sciences Naturelles et en Génie du Canada) RGPIN-06669-2018Gouvernement du Canada | Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (Conseil de Recherches en Sciences Naturelles et en Génie du Canada) RGPIN-2016-05441Gouvernement du Canada | Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (Conseil de Recherches en Sciences Naturelles et en Génie du Canada) RGPIN-2022-04555
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity, but their ecological impacts remain less well understood than those of gradual climate change, largely owing to the challenge of studying unpredictable, short-lived events. The 2021 western North American heatwave is among the most extreme on record globally, yet a broad assessment of its ecological consequences is lacking. Here we synthesize meteorological, ecological, hydrological and wildfire data, along with process-based modelling, to quantify the heatwave and its impacts across the region. Our meta-analysis of 32 terrestrial and marine taxa reveals that over 75% were negatively impacted, but species responses ranged widely, from 99% declines to 89% increases. This variability reflects differences in organisms' thermal sensitivities, response capacities and exposures, with the latter dependent on geography, microclimate and refugia. Impacts tended to be greater for sessile marine invertebrates, algae and plants than for birds and mammals. At the ecosystem scale, changes in gross primary productivity ranged from 30% increases in cooler, wetter areas to 75% decreases in warmer, arid ones. Streamflow from snow and ice melt increased 40% during the heatwave before dropping below average, whereas wildfire activity surged 37% during the heatwave and 395% the following week. Our results underscore the urgent need for enhanced coordinated approaches to predict, detect and manage increasing heatwaves.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemExtreme WeatherAnimalsNorth AmericaWildfires

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.