SynthesisNature ecology & evolution2026
Widespread ecological responses and cascading effects of the 2021 western North American heatwave.
Synthesis in Nature ecology & evolution, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Joint dependence of leaf minimum conductance on vapor pressure deficit and temperature.Plant physiology · 2026Article
- Hydraulics and Structural Mechanics Jointly Shape Root-to-Leaf Scaling of Xylem Conduit Traits.Plant, cell & environment · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
14 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity, but their ecological impacts remain less well understood than those of gradual climate change, largely owing to the challenge of studying unpredictable, short-lived events. The 2021 western North American heatwave is among the most extreme on record globally, yet a broad assessment of its ecological consequences is lacking. Here we synthesize meteorological, ecological, hydrological and wildfire data, along with process-based modelling, to quantify the heatwave and its impacts across the region. Our meta-analysis of 32 terrestrial and marine taxa reveals that over 75% were negatively impacted, but species responses ranged widely, from 99% declines to 89% increases. This variability reflects differences in organisms' thermal sensitivities, response capacities and exposures, with the latter dependent on geography, microclimate and refugia. Impacts tended to be greater for sessile marine invertebrates, algae and plants than for birds and mammals. At the ecosystem scale, changes in gross primary productivity ranged from 30% increases in cooler, wetter areas to 75% decreases in warmer, arid ones. Streamflow from snow and ice melt increased 40% during the heatwave before dropping below average, whereas wildfire activity surged 37% during the heatwave and 395% the following week. Our results underscore the urgent need for enhanced coordinated approaches to predict, detect and manage increasing heatwaves.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.