Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41802891›Full record

ArticleVox sanguinis2026

Long-term forecasting of blood donations using time series of donation activity: Findings from seven blood establishments.

Timo Asikainen, Tinus Brits, Ronél Swanevelder, Jose Antonio García Erce, Lucile Malard, Iris Garcia-Martínez, Marijke Welvaert, Surendra Karki, Tea Lallukka, Mart Pothast and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vox sanguinis, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Timo AsikainenFinnish Red Cross Blood Service (FRCBS), Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7885-8715
Tinus BritsSouth African National Blood Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Ronél SwanevelderSouth African National Blood Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Jose Antonio García ErceBanco de Sangre y Tejidos de Navarra, Navarre, Spain.
Lucile MalardÉtablissement français du sang, La Plaine Saint-Denis, France.
Iris Garcia-MartínezBlood and Tissue Bank (BST), Catalonia, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6656-3322
Marijke WelvaertAustralian Red Cross Lifeblood, Sydney, Australia.
Surendra KarkiAustralian Red Cross Lifeblood, Sydney, Australia.
Tea LallukkaFaculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Mart PothastDonor Health, Department of Research, Sanquin Blood Supply Foundation, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Mikko ArvasFinnish Red Cross Blood Service (FRCBS), Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6902-8488

Funding

Stichting Sanquin Bloedvoorziening PPOC23-09/L-6512753
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesTo meet the long-term demand for blood products while preserving donor health in the long run, blood establishments must recruit a sufficient number of new donors annually. To determine what will suffice, it is essential to be able to forecast future blood donation volumes as a function of new donors using estimates based on historical donation activity. MATERIALS AND

methodsDonor (n = 11,629,873) and donation data (n = 64,510,294) extracted from operational information systems of seven blood establishments were transformed into anonymous donation activity data (grouped by blood establishment, sex and blood group) in the form of time series of mean number of donations per donor, indexed by years since first donation. Linear models were fitted to the time series using ordinary least squares.

resultsOut of the various estimated models, the best fit (mean R

conclusionAverage donation activity can be modelled using a few variables and simple models, with high precision. The estimates can be used to create forecasts of future donation volumes, which in turn can be useful in long-term blood donation management.

Indexed as

Blood DonationBlood BanksBlood DonorsFemaleForecastingHumansMaleTime Factorsblood donationblood donation managementdonor studieslong‐term forecasting

Identifiers

PMID41802891
PMCPMC13253050

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.