Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41801413›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society2026

Emergency trauma admissions in the oldest-old: short- and long-term mortality and the role of frailty in a Turkish national cohort of centenarians.

Merve Güner, Yavuz Şahbat, Sinem Bayram, Serdar Ceylan, Rıfat Bozkuş, Naim Ata, Mustafa Cankurtaran, Şuayip Birinci

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Merve GünerDivision of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Istinye University, Istanbul, Türkiye. Mguner54@gmail.com.
Yavuz ŞahbatDepartment of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Istinye University Bahçeşehir Liv Hospital, Istanbul, Türkiye.
Sinem BayramMinistry of Health, Health Information Systems, Ankara, Türkiye.
Serdar CeylanMinistry of Health, Division of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Antalya City Hospital, Antalya, Türkiye.
Rıfat BozkuşMinistry of Health, Department of Internal Medicine, Ankara Etlik City Hospital, Ankara, Türkiye.
Naim AtaMinistry of Health, General Directorate of Health Information Systems, Ankara, Türkiye.
Mustafa CankurtaranDivision of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye.
Şuayip BirinciMinistry of Health, Deputy Minister, Ankara, Türkiye.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThis study aimed to evaluate the impact of orthopedic trauma on mortality among centenarians presenting to the emergency department, to examine the relationship between frailty and longevity, and to provide insights into post-trauma survival in long-lived individuals, as well as the role of frailty mechanisms.

methodsData were retrieved from the National Personal Health Record System (NPHRS) of Türkiye. The study included patients aged ≥ 100 years who presented to emergency departments with trauma between January 2016 and July 2024 across all levels of healthcare institutions. Frailty was assessed using the Canadian Institute for Health Information Hospital Frailty Risk Measure (CIHI-HFRM) and 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) based on ICD-10 codes. Survival status was determined retrospectively from national death registry.

resultsA total of 1,180 patients were included, with a mean age of 101.3 ± 3.9 years. Hip fractures were the most frequent presentation, accounting for more than 40% of all cases. Overall, 906 patients (76.8%) died, with a median survival of 7.2 months (range: 0.1–51.1 months). Higher frailty scores according to the CIHI-HFRM were paradoxically associated with reduced mortality across follow-up intervals: 30-day (HR = 0.026, 95% CI: 0.006–0.118, p < 0.001), 90-day (HR = 0.091, 95% CI: 0.031–0.271, p < 0.001), and one-year mortality (HR = 0.084, 95% CI: 0.036–0.195, p < 0.001).

conclusionFrailty, as defined by CIHI-HFRM and mFI-5, was not a risk factor for mortality at 30-, 90-, or 1-year follow-up; rather, it appeared protective. This paradoxical finding highlights the need to reconsider how frailty is conceptualized and measured in centenarians. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalFrail ElderlyFrailtyWounds and InjuriesAged, 80 and overEmergency Room VisitsFemaleGeriatric AssessmentHip FracturesHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsTurkeyCentenarianFrailtyHip fractureLongevityOrthopedic trauma

Identifiers

PMID41801413
PMCPMC12971919

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.