Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41790846›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2026

Association of avian biodiversity and West Nile Virus circulation in Culex mosquitoes in Emilia-Romagna, Italy.

Yiran Wang, Mattia Calzolari, Gianpiero Calvi, Victoria M Cox, Paola Angelini, Michele Dottori, William Wint, Sally Jahn, Giovanni Marini, Ilaria Dorigatti

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yiran WangMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5163-6535
Mattia CalzolariIstituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale della Lombardia e dell'Emilia Romagna "Bruno Ubertini", Brescia, Italy.
Gianpiero CalviStudio Pteryx, Basiano, Italy.
Victoria M CoxMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Paola AngeliniSettore Prevenzione collettiva e Sanità pubblica, Regione Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy.
Michele DottoriIstituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale della Lombardia e dell'Emilia Romagna "Bruno Ubertini", Brescia, Italy.
William WintResearch and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige, Italy.
Sally JahnMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Giovanni MariniResearch and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige, Tennessee, Italy.
Ilaria DorigattiMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWest Nile Virus (WNV) is a zoonotic arbovirus maintained in a transmission cycle between Culex mosquitoes and birds, occasionally spilling over into humans. The impact of avian biodiversity on WNV circulation remains debated, with studies reporting both negative and positive correlations (dilution and amplification effects respectively) across different settings. In Europe, this relationship remains largely unexplored, particularly in regions with high WNV transmission, such as Emilia-Romagna in Northern Italy.

methodsWe explored the association between avian biodiversity and WNV circulation in Culex mosquitoes in Emilia-Romagna using 11 years (2013-2023) of entomological surveillance data paired with two avian data sources. We calculated avian biodiversity indices (Shannon's, Simpson's, and Chao2) from observation records from the Farmland Bird Index project and applied linear regression models to assess their relationship with WNV detection frequency. Moreover, we used Bayesian spatiotemporal regression models and gridded weekly avian abundance estimates from the eBird project to analyse the associations between avian species richness indices and WNV transmission risk quantified by vector index (VI) at 68 geolocated mosquito traps across the region.

resultsWe observed consistent negative associations between WNV detection frequency in the Culex population and avian biodiversity indices, supporting the dilution effect hypothesis (DEH). We found that non-passerine species richness was negatively associated with VI while passerine species richness showed a positive association after adjusting for covariates and spatial random effects. These findings suggest that passerines may amplify WNV transmission, whereas the presence of non-passerine species is associated with reductions in WNV circulation. SIGNIFICANCE: This study provides the first empirical evidence supporting the DEH for WNV in Europe. These findings have important implications for biodiversity conservation and integrated public health surveillance activities across Europe.

Indexed as

BiodiversityBird DiseasesBirdsCulexMosquito VectorsWest Nile FeverWest Nile virusAnimalsItalyMosquito-Borne Diseases

Identifiers

PMID41790846
PMCPMC12978567

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.