Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41790615›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2026

From tests to truth: A misclassification-aware machine learning framework for estimating brucellosis seroprevalence in wild canids.

Nahal Sarvestani, Farzane Shams, Armin Mirshahi, Mobina Pato, Aria Javani Farbod, Armina Khayatderafshi, Mobina Payami, Arman Abdous

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Nahal SarvestaniFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
Farzane ShamsDivision of Neurological Sciences, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Armin MirshahiFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Garmsar Branch, Islamic Azad University, Semnan, Iran.
Mobina PatoFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
Aria Javani FarbodFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Urmia Branch, Islamic Azad University, Urmia, Iran.
Armina KhayatderafshiVeterinary Practice Manager, North Care Animal Hospital, North Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Mobina PayamiFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Karaj, Iran.
Arman AbdousFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Karaj, Iran.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7441-7413

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Brucellosis is an important zoonotic disease affecting humans, livestock, and wildlife, yet prevalence estimates in wild species are often underestimated due to limited attention to surveillance, as well as insufficient and biased sampling. To clarify exposure patterns in wild canids, we searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, SciELO, and Google Scholar (1962-2025) for primary prevalence studies of Brucella species (spp.) in free-ranging canids. Serological data were analyzed using a misclassification-aware, multi-assay model that corrects for imperfect test sensitivity and specificity. Confirmatory polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and culture results were considered separately from serological data, as each offers a different perspective on disease status. Across 48 wild serology populations (n = 3,925 animals), the global misclassification-adjusted true seroprevalence was 8.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.1-11.3%). Confirmed active infection, based on PCR or culture, was uncommon (3.9%; 95% CI: 3.0-5.1%). Exposure levels varied across continents, with higher estimates in South America (approximately 18%) and lower levels in Europe (approximately 0.8%) and North America (approximately 4.1%). Data from Africa were limited, and Asian estimates were based on sparse wild samples, leading to wide uncertainty. Seroprevalence was consistently influenced by assay type, host species, and region. Overall, wild canids exhibit modest but widespread serological exposure to Brucella spp., whereas confirmed active infection remains rare. Because evidence quality and diagnostic rigor varied considerably across regions, especially in Africa and parts of Asia, results from these areas should be interpreted with caution. By correcting for imperfect tests and explicitly accounting for study heterogeneity, this framework provides more reliable and transparent prevalence estimates and highlights geographic gaps where improved, targeted One Health surveillance is most urgently needed.

Indexed as

Animals, WildBrucellaBrucellosisMachine LearningAnimalsAntibodies, BacterialPolymerase Chain ReactionSensitivity and SpecificitySeroepidemiologic StudiesAntibodies, Bacterial

Identifiers

PMID41790615
PMCPMC12965539

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.