Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41788029›Full record

ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2026

Two-season effectiveness of a single nirsevimab dose against RSV hospitalisation in healthy term-born infants: a population-based case-control study, Spain, October 2023 to March 2025.

Olivier Núñez, Juan Juaneda, Montserrat Martinez-Marcos, Enriqueta Muñoz Platón, Eva Rivas Wagner, María-Isolina Santiago-Pérez, Virginia Álvarez Río, Matilde Zornoza Moreno, Ana Fernández Ibáñez, Gisselle Perez Suarez and 27 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Detection of nirsevimab-resistant RSV-B variants in children carrying the F:N201T substitution through genomic surveillance, Spain, 2025/26 season.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

37 authors.

Olivier NúñezConsortium for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.
Juan JuanedaDirectorate-General for Public Health, Valencia, Valencian Community, Spain.
Montserrat Martinez-MarcosAgència de Salut Pública de Catalunya (ASPCAT), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Enriqueta Muñoz PlatónDirectorate-General of Public Health, Toledo, Castilla-La Mancha, Spain.
Eva Rivas WagnerDirectorate-General of Public Health, Canary Islands Health Service, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain.
María-Isolina Santiago-PérezDirectorate-General of Public Health, Department of Health, Santiago de Compostela, Galicia, Spain.
Virginia Álvarez RíoDirectorate-General of Public Health, Department of Health, Valladolid, Castilla y León, Spain.
Matilde Zornoza MorenoDirectorate-General of Public Health and Addictions, Murcia, Region of Murcia, Spain.
Ana Fernández IbáñezDirectorate-General of Public and Mental Health, Oviedo, Asturias, Spain.
Gisselle Perez SuarezDirectorate-General of Public Health, Zaragoza, Aragón, Spain.
Gorka Loroño OrtizDepartment of Health, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Basque Country, Spain.
Nerea EgüésInstituto de Salud Pública y Laboral de Navarra - IdiSNA, Pamplona, Navarra, Spain.
Belén Berradre SáenzDirectorate-General of Public Health, Logroño, La Rioja, Spain.
María de Los Ángeles Cuesta FrancoDirectorate-General of Public Health, Mérida, Extremadura, Spain.
Susana Casado CoboDirectorate-General of Public Health, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
María Domínguez PadillaUniversity Hospital of Ceuta, Ceuta, Spain.
Daniel CastrillejoDirectorate-General of Public Health, Melilla, Spain.
Ana Míguez SantiyánDirectorate-General for Public Health, Valencia, Valencian Community, Spain.
Luca BasileAgència de Salut Pública de Catalunya (ASPCAT), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
María Ángeles Rafael de la Cruz LópezDirectorate-General of Public Health, Toledo, Castilla-La Mancha, Spain.
Diana Sanabria CurbeloDirectorate-General of Public Health, Canary Islands Health Service, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain.
Olaia Pérez-MartínezDirectorate-General of Public Health, Department of Health, Santiago de Compostela, Galicia, Spain.
M Jesús Rodríguez RecioDirectorate-General of Public Health, Department of Health, Valladolid, Castilla y León, Spain.
Lourdes Duro GómezDirectorate-General of Public Health and Addictions, Murcia, Region of Murcia, Spain.
María Del Pilar Alonso VigilDirectorate-General of Public and Mental Health, Oviedo, Asturias, Spain.
Manuel Mendez DiazDirectorate-General of Public Health, Zaragoza, Aragón, Spain.
Rosa SanchoDepartment of Health, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Basque Country, Spain.
Jesús CastillaInstituto de Salud Pública y Laboral de Navarra - IdiSNA, Pamplona, Navarra, Spain.
Ana Carmen Ibáñez PérezDirectorate-General of Public Health, Logroño, La Rioja, Spain.
Noa Batalla RebolloDirectorate-General of Public Health, Mérida, Extremadura, Spain.
Lucía Sánchez PiornoDirectorate-General of Public Health, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
Ninoska López BerriosPublic Health Department, Ceuta, Spain.
Joaquín LamasUniversity Hospital of Melilla, Melilla, Spain.
Carmen OlmedoVaccines Division, Directorate-General of Public Health, Ministry of Health, Madrid, Spain.
Susana MongeThese authors contributed equally to the work and share last authorship.
Roberto Pastor-BarriusoThese authors contributed equally to the work and share last authorship.
Nirsevimab Effectiveness Study CollaboratorsThe members of the group are listed under collaborators.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUNDIn autumn 2023, Spain recommended nirsevimab to all infants born after 1 April 2023, as catch-up or at-birth immunisation.AIMWe estimated effectiveness of a single nirsevimab dose against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalisations throughout two seasons in healthy term-born infants.METHODSCases were children born 1 April 2023 through 31 March 2024 after 35 gestation weeks without major comorbidities and hospitalised for RSV infection between 2023 immunisation campaign onset and 31 March 2025. We selected four healthy population-density controls per case, matched by province and birth date. Using target trial emulation, causal per-protocol effectiveness was estimated for catch-up (within 30 days of 2023 campaign onset) and at-birth immunisation (within 14 days of life) through cloning, censoring and inverse-probability-weighted conditional logistic regression.RESULTSWe included 235/905 cases/controls for catch-up and 334/1,292 cases/controls for at-birth immunisation (first season), and 188/713 cases/controls for catch-up and 328/1,269 cases/controls for at-birth immunisation (second season). Two-season effectiveness was 64% (95% confidence interval (CI): 52-72) and 67% (95% CI: 59-74) for catch-up and at-birth immunisation, respectively, compared with 78% (95% CI: 70-84) and 84% (95% CI: 79-88) during first season and -8% (95% CI: -88 to 38) and 20% (95% CI: -21 to 46) during second season.CONCLUSIONNirsevimab was an effective long-term population-level intervention, decreasing RSV hospitalisations by two-thirds during the first two seasons of life. Effectiveness during second season was low or null, although it may be underestimated due to unavoidable survivor bias. The RSV hospitalisation rate among immunised children did not rebound in the second season.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsHospitalizationRespiratory Syncytial Virus, HumanRespiratory Syncytial Virus InfectionsCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleRespiratory Syncytial Virus VaccinesSeasonsSpainAntiviral AgentsRespiratory Syncytial Virus VaccinesHospitalisationImmunisationLong-term effectivenessNirsevimabPaediatricRespiratory syncytial virus (RSV)

Identifiers

PMID41788029
PMCPMC13074286

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.