Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41781049›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2026

How is long-term sickness absence due to different mental disorders associated with future disability pension risk? A population-based prospective cohort study in Finland.

Riku Perhoniemi, Jenni Blomgren

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Article in BMJ open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Riku PerhoniemiThe Social Insurance Institution of Finland (Kela), Helsinki, Finland riku.perhoniemi@kela.fi.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3199-3952
Jenni BlomgrenThe Social Insurance Institution of Finland (Kela), Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5466-0205

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe rise in mental disorders in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries warrants close consideration, as mental disorders cause long-term sickness absences (LTSA) and increase the risk of disability pensioning (DP). This study compared how different mental disorders as a basis for LTSA pose risks for a subsequent DP.

designPopulation-based prospective cohort study. SETTING AND

participants18-59-year-old Finns starting a new psychiatric LTSA in 2020. LTSA was measured through sickness allowance accumulated over 12 months. A 48-month follow-up started from the onset of LTSA. Six mental disorder types were identified. OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcome variable was the time in months to a first paid DP spell. Using Cox proportional hazards regression stratified by sex, the DP risks of different mental disorders were examined, adjusting for comorbidity, length of LTSA and sociodemographic variables. The risks are presented as absolute risk differences and both unadjusted and covariate-adjusted HRs.

resultsCompared with depression-related LTSA, psychoses (HRs 2.93 (95% CI 2.55 to 3.36) for women/2.99 (95% CI 2.67 to 3.36) for men) and other mood disorders (HRs 1.64 (95% CI 1.40 to 1.92)/1.49 (95% CI 1.25 to 1.78)) were associated with higher covariate-adjusted HRs, while anxiety disorders (HRs 0.65 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.72)/0.76 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.87)) and psychiatric sleep disorders (HRs 0.47 (95% CI 0.38 to 0.59)/0.58 (95% CI 0.44 to 0.78)) showed lower HRs. Higher age, lower education and socioeconomic status, comorbid mental disorders, chronic diseases and longer LTSA increased the risk.

conclusionsDifferent mental disorders as basis for LTSA pose differing risks for permanent work disability. Among mental disorders, depression poses a relatively average risk for DP. Although anxiety and sleep disorders commonly cause LTSA, they are not associated with high DP risks. Psychotic and bipolar disorders are especially detrimental to work ability in today's work life.

Indexed as

Mental DisordersPensionsPersons with DisabilitiesSick LeaveAdolescentAdultFemaleFinlandHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsYoung AdultEPIDEMIOLOGYMENTAL HEALTHPSYCHIATRYPUBLIC HEALTH

Identifiers

PMID41781049
PMCPMC12970115

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.