Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41778138›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2026

Pessimism or optimism? A tri-spatial analysis of public risk perception bias and its influencing mechanisms: evidence from 31 major cities in China.

Li Wang, Yiming Wang, Minchun Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Li WangSchool of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, China.
Yiming WangSchool of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, China.
Minchun WuSchool of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Public risk perception bias (PRPB) is a critical psychological and social determinant that substantially shapes public health outcomes and the effectiveness of safety governance-particularly during large-scale crises like the COVID-19 pandemic. Amid increasingly complex urban risk landscapes, traditional single/dual-spatial frameworks fail to capture PRPB's multi-source and interactive nature. Methods: This study develops an Extended Tri-Spatial Prism Model to measure PRPB across 31 major Chinese cities (2017-2023) using multi-source data and explores its spatiotemporal dynamics and multi-level influencing mechanisms via a mixed-methods approach (Delphi technique, entropy weighting, GIS spatial analysis, multiple regression, mediation analysis). Results: (1) PRPB is dominated by pessimism with marked tri-spatial heterogeneity-physical and cyber spaces show pronounced pessimism, while social space remains cognitively neutral; (2) PRPB exhibits a "north-optimistic, south-pessimistic" spatial pattern and a COVID-19-disrupted V-shaped temporal trend (2017-2023); (3) Individual and urban factors shape PRPB through the mediation of psychological stress, social capital, media rationality, and government trust. Conclusion: This study advances the theoretical understanding of PRPB by systematically delineating its tri-spatial characteristics and underlying mechanisms. These findings provide theoretical insights and practical guidance for optimizing public risk communication systems and urban safety governance frameworks.

Indexed as

COVID-19OptimismPessimismChinaCitiesHumansSARS-CoV-2Spatial AnalysisChinaCOVID-19 pandemicpessimism biaspublic risk perception biastri-spatial framework

Identifiers

PMID41778138
PMCPMC12950751

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.