Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41777088›Full record

ArticleJournal of extracellular vesicles2026

An Extracellular Vesicle Protein-Based Machine Learning Framework for Early Detection of Oesophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Multicentre, Prospective Study.

Yu Wang, Shan Xing, Ya-Xian Wu, Ning Xue, Pei-Min Chen, Run-Xian Jin, Yi-Wei Xu, Ming-Fang Ji, Yu-Hui Peng, Yuan-Tao Liu and 14 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of extracellular vesicles, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Yu WangState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0650-8126
Shan XingState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Ya-Xian WuState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Ning XueDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
Pei-Min ChenCentre for Disease Control and Prevention of Liwan District of Guangzhou, Guangzhou, China.
Run-Xian JinZhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yi-Wei XuDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Ming-Fang JiCancer Research Institute of Zhongshan City, Zhongshan City People's Hospital, Zhongshan, China.
Yu-Hui PengDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Yuan-Tao LiuState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Li-Na ChenState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Meng WuState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Zi-Ying JiangState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Shang-Hang XieState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Yi-Ling LuoState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Biao ZhangDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Xin-Yuan OuState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Qi HuangState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Bo-Yu TianState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Li LingDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Su-Mei CaoState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Wan-Li LiuState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7467-760X
Mu-Sheng ZengState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3509-5591
Qian ZhongState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1071-6996

Funding

Enterprises Joint Fund-Key Program of Guangdong Province 2021B1515230006National Key Research and Development Program of China 2022YFC3400900Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of China Postdoctoral Science Foundation GZB20250542
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early detection of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is critical for improving survival, yet current screening is hampered by the lack of effective, non-invasive methods. Here, we developed and prospectively validated an extracellular vesicle (EV) protein-based blood test for the preclinical detection of ESCC. We first engineered BarFlare, a high-sensitivity platform for serum EV protein analysis, and identified a novel biomarker panel that includes EV-associated squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC) and matrix metalloproteinase-13 (MMP13). These biomarkers were integrated with clinical factors into an interpretable multi-criteria decision-making classification fusion (MCF) machine-learning framework. The MCF model was trained and validated in prospective, multicentre diagnostic cohorts (n = 1018), and its preclinical detection capability was assessed in a prospective, population-based longitudinal cohort. The MCF framework accurately distinguished patients with ESCC from healthy controls in a test set (AUC, 0.987) and two external validation cohorts (AUCs, 0.926 and 0.960), including those with early-stage disease (AUCs, 0.901-0.980). Critically, in the longitudinal cohort, the framework identified individuals who would later develop ESCC from their baseline blood samples with a median lead time of 34.9 months (range, 0.4-72.5) before clinical diagnosis (AUC, 0.864; sensitivity, 73.3%; specificity, 82.2%). The risk score of the model correlated with time to diagnosis, and its dynamic increase significantly outperformed that of traditional serum SCC for preclinical risk stratification. Our validated, blood-based EV protein signature not only accurately detects prevalent ESCC but also identifies high-risk individuals years before clinical presentation, providing a powerful, non-invasive tool that supports risk-stratified screening and creates a critical window for early, potentially curative intervention. Trial Registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry identifiers: ChiCTR2200066733 and ChiCTR2200065610.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaExtracellular VesiclesMachine LearningAgedBiomarkers, TumorFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesBiomarkers, Tumorbiomarkersearly detectionextracellular vesiclesliquid biopsyoesophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID41777088
PMCPMC12957770

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.