Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41773490›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2026

Europe's Ecological Debt: Mapping Freshwater Restoration Needs.

Gonçalo Duarte, Angeliki Peponi, António Faro, Tamara Leite, Pedro Segurado, Florian Borgwardt, Annette Baattrup-Pedersen, Sebastian Birk, Teresa Ferreira, Paulo Branco

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Gonçalo DuarteForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID 0000-0003-3707-601X
Angeliki PeponiForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID 0000-0001-6191-7320
António FaroForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.
Tamara LeiteForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.
Pedro SeguradoForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.
Florian BorgwardtChristian Doppler Laboratory for Meta Ecosystem Dynamics in Riverine Landscapes, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna (BOKU), Institute of Hydrobiology and Aquatic Ecosystem Management, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-8974-7834
Annette Baattrup-PedersenDepartment of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus C, Denmark.
Sebastian BirkFaculty of Biology, Aquatic Ecology, and Centre for Water and Environmental Research, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2597-8692
Teresa FerreiraForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID 0000-0002-3900-1460
Paulo BrancoForest Research Centre, Associate Laboratory TERRA, School of Agriculture, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.

Funding

Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia CEECINSTLA/0001/2022/TERRAFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia LA/P/0092/2020Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia PTDC/CTA-AMB/4086/2021Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia UID/00239/2025Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia UID/PRR/00239/2025MERLIN-H2020-LC-GD-2020 101036337
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Since the 20th century, global biodiversity indicators declined, especially for freshwater ecosystems. In European Union, to counter this, the enactment of the Habitats Directive (HD) and the Water Framework Directive (WFD) established legally binding environmental objectives for Member States. Thus, identifying where HD and WFD non-compliance occurs is critical, as these locations represent areas of restoration needs for freshwater environments. We used data from the HD (habitats and species) and WFD and harmonised these datasets using River Restoration Units (R2U), preserving river network structure and providing a consistent spatial resolution. Applying the Composite Indicator of Conservation Status to HD habitats, HD species, and WFD Good Ecological Status, we determined the restoration needs for each R2U. This allowed contrasting restoration needs for HD and WFD at European and national scales, and mapping the combined freshwater-related restoration needs. Around 89% and 55% of R2U expressed restoration needs according to habitats and species, respectively. This rose above 93% for the overall HD goals and exceeded 45% for the WFD. Less than 5% of R2U complied with both directives. We found a European-wide gradient of decreasing restoration needs from habitats, to species, and to WFD, though this pattern was inconsistent among Member States. The spatial patterns of restoration needs identified seem to align with socio-economic conditions and land-use patterns across Europe. The European-wide trend suggests a sequential process in which habitat loss and degradation lead to delayed biodiversity impairment, which may result in subsequent impairment of ecosystem functioning. These are consistent with ecological theory, suggesting that habitat degradation may have delayed but potentially cascading effects on biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. The Nature Restoration Regulation (NRR) can potentially halt European ecological degradation, but restoration efforts must be scaled up and coherently implemented. This broad-scope perspective provides actionable guidance to support NRR implementation across multiple governance levels.

Indexed as

BiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemFresh WaterEuropeEuropean UnionRiversbiodiversitycomposite indicator of conservation statusecological restorationfreshwater ecosystemshabitats directivenature restoration regulationriver restoration unitswater framework directive

Identifiers

PMID41773490
PMCPMC12954650

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.