ArticleBiodiversity data journal2026
Predicting current and future distributions of bird species in South Africa's arid Northern Cape under climate change scenarios: are biomes being crossed?
Article in Biodiversity data journal, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Abstract
Climate change involves rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns which lead to the contraction, expansion or shift in the ranges of biodiversity. This study employed MaxEnt to predict current and future distributions of three bird species native to South Africa and one invasive species. Future scenarios were modelled for 2050 and 2070 using three pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 and four bioclimatic variables. The models showed good performance, with AUC values above 0.7, indicating high predictive accuracy. Comparisons between current ranges and future predictions show species, such as
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