Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41760706›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Effects of climate change on pollen season features of herbaceous species in the Milan area, Northern Italy.

Maira Bonini, Elisa Cardarelli, Marino Faccini, Mikhail Sofiev, Julia Palamarchuk, Matteo Maria Pelagatti, Gianna Serafina Monti

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Maira BoniniDepartment of Hygiene and Health Prevention, Agency for Health Protection of Metropolitan Area of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Elisa CardarelliDepartment of Hygiene and Health Prevention, Agency for Health Protection of Metropolitan Area of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Marino FacciniDepartment of Hygiene and Health Prevention, Agency for Health Protection of Metropolitan Area of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Mikhail SofievFinnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
Julia PalamarchukFinnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
Matteo Maria PelagattiDepartment of Economics, Management and Statistics, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Gianna Serafina MontiDepartment of Economics, Management and Statistics, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy. gianna.monti@unimib.it.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Different herbaceous plant species release allergenic pollen that can have adverse effects on human health. Climate change, which alters plant physiology and phenology, can affect airborne pollen levels, increasing the risk for allergy sufferers. This study examines trends in airborne pollen concentrations and seasonal characteristics, aiming to identify potential shifts in the onset, end, and duration of the main pollen seasons of herbaceous plant species over the last few decades, with particular attention to exploring the association between phenological changes and climate parameters. Moreover, forecasting scenarios of pollen season features trends concerning the meteorological variables we presented. To this purpose, data from the aerobiological station of the Milan area (Legnano, Lombardy, Italy), located in one of the most invaded parts by Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Italy and Europe, and characterized by a time series of nearly 30 years, from 1995 to 2022, were analysed. The results showed a clear correlation between main pollen season features and meteorological variables for Poaceae, Urticaceae, Artemisia and Ambrosia. Generally, increasing temperature and solar radiation were linked to an anticipated onset of the pollen season, while precipitation and relative humidity to an earlier end date. Moreover, in the study areas, a strong increase in annual average temperature has been observed since 1975, projected to continue over the next 60 years. This increase was predicted to lead to an earlier start and longer duration of the pollen season for weed species, potentially advancing by up to 2 weeks over 60 years. These findings indicate an elevated risk of exposure for individuals with allergies in the short term and underscore the urgent need to implement long-term monitoring frameworks for both ecological and public health purposes.

Indexed as

AllergensClimate ChangePollenSeasonsAmbrosiaArtemisiaHumansItalyPoaceaeTemperatureUrticaceaeAllergensClimate changePollen seasonTemporal trends

Identifiers

PMID41760706
PMCPMC13049043

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.