Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41760649›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Prospective multicenter study of ctDNA versus tumor tissue guiding FGFR-targeted therapy in metastatic urothelial cancer.

David C Müller, Andrew J Murtha, Jack V W Bacon, Maria Stephenson, Connor Wells, Carlos Vasquez-Rios, Kimia Rostin, Lisa Rebane, Elena Schönlau, Jussi Nikkola and 33 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A new phosphorus-rhodamine voltage-sensing dye for optical membrane potential imaging.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

43 authors.

David C Müller *Vancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6471-6065
Andrew J Murtha *Vancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3980-7656
Jack V W BaconVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Maria StephensonVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Connor WellsDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Carlos Vasquez-RiosVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Kimia RostinVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Lisa RebaneDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Elena SchönlauDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Jussi NikkolaVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Nimira AlimohamedDepartment of Medical Oncology, Arthur J.E. Child Comprehensive Cancer Centre, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Naveen S BasappaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Cross Cancer Institute, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Daygen FinchDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Kelowna, BC, Canada.
Jenny J KoDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Abbotsford, BC, Canada.
Jean-Michel LavoieDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Victoria, BC, Canada.
Lucia NappiVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Krista NoonanDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Surrey, BC, Canada.
Michael OngThe Ottawa Hospital-Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
Guliz OzgunDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Sunil ParimiDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Victoria, BC, Canada.
Maryam SoleimaniDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Srikala S SridharPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6994-1285
Paul TorenCHU de Québec-Université Laval, Laval University, Quebec City, QC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5762-5787
Eric WinquistVerspeeten Family Cancer Centre at London Health Sciences Centre, London, ON, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8829-5979
Cecily Q BernalesVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Melissa KoudjanianVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Jaskirat AtwalVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Emily FungVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Laiba KhanDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Bryndan EiglDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Dalia OthmanVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Tarek A BismarDepartments of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Oncology, Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Gang WangVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0225-4173
Reem MerzaLady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Andreas I PapadakisLady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Alan SpatzLady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, QC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3020-1420
Christian KollmannsbergerDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Corinne Maurice-DrorDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4455-4497
Matti AnnalaFaculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University and Tays Cancer Centre, Tampere, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8478-9026
Kim N ChiDepartment of Medical Oncology, BC Cancer, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Gillian VandekerkhoveVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada. gvandekerkhove@prostatecentre.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5606-0908
Alexander W WyattVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada. alexander.wyatt@ubc.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2399-0329
Bernhard J EiglVancouver Prostate Centre, Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada. bernie.eigl@bccancer.bc.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1653-6929

Funding

Bladder Cancer Advocacy Network (BCAN) N/aGouvernement du Canada | Canadian Institutes of Health Research (Instituts de Recherche en Santé du Canada) PJT180417
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) alterations are targetable in metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). Identifying FGFR alterations currently requires tissue testing, which is limited by sample availability and cancer heterogeneity. Plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) offers a complementary testing strategy, but the added value of ctDNA relative to conventional FGFR alteration assessment remains unclear. Here, in a prospective, multicentre study, we show that ctDNA testing has high concordance with tissue FGFR testing and identifies additional actionable FGFR alterations. We profile plasma from 208 patients with mUC undergoing clinical FGFR tissue testing for erdafitinib eligibility. In evaluable baseline samples, FGFR alteration frequency is 26% in either tissue or ctDNA. Among 125 patients with baseline detected ctDNA and paired tissue results, FGFR status is concordant in 90%, and ctDNA has an 84% sensitivity for tissue-detected alterations while also identifying 7 additional cases. Serial plasma collections post-baseline further clarify FGFR status. In 21 patients who received erdafitinib after testing, the median progression-free survival is 7.5 months, and one patient with a ctDNA-exclusive FGFR alteration remained on erdafitinib for 33 months. Our results support clinical uptake of ctDNA FGFR testing in combination with tissue-based approaches in mUC.

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNAReceptors, Fibroblast Growth FactorUrinary Bladder NeoplasmsAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMolecular Targeted TherapyNeoplasm MetastasisProgression-Free SurvivalProspective StudiesPyrazolesQuinoxalinesCirculating Tumor DNAerdafitinibPyrazolesQuinoxalinesReceptors, Fibroblast Growth Factor

Identifiers

PMID41760649
PMCPMC13066519

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.