Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41757244›Full record

Observational studyFrontiers in endocrinology2026

Development and external validation of an admission-based model for in-hospital mortality in acute exacerbation of COPD: incremental prognostic value of type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Jie Chen, Xiaofeng Zhang, Kunhe Liu, Wei Zhang, Mingmei Zhong

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Frontiers in endocrinology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jie ChenDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Hefei), Hefei, China.
Xiaofeng ZhangGeneral Medicine Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Kunhe LiuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Binhu Hospital of Hefei, Hefei, China.
Wei ZhangDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Hefei), Hefei, China.
Mingmei ZhongDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Hefei), Hefei, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) carries substantial short-term mortality. Whether type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) provides incremental prognostic information for in-hospital death during AECOPD, beyond acute physiological decompensation, remains incompletely defined. Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study of consecutive inpatients admitted for AECOPD at three tertiary hospitals (June 2022-December 2024). A multivariable logistic model was developed in the training cohort using routinely available variables obtained early after admission, with feature selection by LASSO and performance evaluation by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. External validation was performed in an independent hospital cohort with intercept/slope recalibration when indicated. Results: Among 4,292 patients (training n=2,861; external n=1,431), patients with T2DM had higher in-hospital mortality than those without T2DM. In the multivariable model, T2DM contributed incremental prognostic information for in-hospital death (adjusted OR = 2.74, 95% CI 1.62-4.56), together with PaCO Conclusion: In hospitalized AECOPD, T2DM provides clinically relevant incremental prognostic information for short-term in-hospital mortality within a parsimonious multivariable model. The nomogram may facilitate early risk stratification and support integrated respiratory and metabolic co-management.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Hospital MortalityPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAgedAged, 80 and overDisease ProgressionFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient AdmissionPrognosisRetrospective Studiesacute exacerbationCOPDin-hospital mortalitynomogramrisk predictiontype 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID41757244
PMCPMC12932170

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.