Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41748581›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Negative emissions to mitigate Earth system risks.

Thomas Gasser, Armon Rezai, Côme Cheritel, Artem Baklanov, Michael Obersteiner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Thomas GasserInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. gasser@iiasa.ac.at.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-2647
Armon RezaiInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Côme CheritelInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9529-2346
Artem BaklanovInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1599-3618
Michael ObersteinerInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 101003536EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 773421EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 820829
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most climate policies are designed under a deterministic Earth system and their climate implications evaluated ex-post. Approaches that incorporate uncertainty ex-ante to anticipate Earth system risks remain underexplored. Here, we derive global climate strategies with an ex-ante approach, employing an integrated assessment framework that embeds estimates of physical uncertainty obtained through Bayesian fusion of Earth system models' and observations' data. These ex-ante strategies mitigate risks in the Earth system through precautionary measures unseen with the ex-post approach, in cost-benefit analysis and cost-effective implementations of various Earth system targets. Net-zero CO

Identifiers

PMID41748581
PMCPMC13057213

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.