ArticleNature communications2026
Extreme rainfall reshapes permafrost thermal regimes across the Northern Hemisphere.
Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Westerly induced precipitation increase drives near-surface ground ice gain on the Tibetan Plateau despite warming.Science advances · 2026Article
- Abrupt permafrost thaw drives exceptional carbon release across the Tibetan Plateau.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Extreme rainfall reshapes permafrost thermal regimes across the Northern Hemisphere.Nature communications · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Extreme rainfall can alter thermal and hydrological dynamics of the active layer in permafrost regions, potentially accelerating thaw and climate feedbacks, yet the specific controls on soil temperature responses remain unclear. We combined four extreme rainfall indices with three analytical approaches to assess impacts at 131 Northern Hemisphere permafrost sites, and used principal component analysis to identify soil thermal responses patterns. Results show extreme rainfall cools shallow soils but warms deeper layers. Additionally, extreme rainfall cools permafrost in humid regions, disturbed land surfaces, and areas with low ground ice and soil organic matter. In contrast, precipitation warms permafrost in arid regions, shrub-dominated landscapes, and where ground ice and organic matter are high. These patterns indicate that extreme rainfall is a major driver of permafrost change and can accelerate active-layer thaw. Because response direction and magnitude depend on regional climate and ecosystem characteristics, future climate projections must explicitly include rainfall extremes.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.