Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41739005›Full record

ArticleGastroenterology2026

The MetALD-ALD Prediction Index: A Phosphatidylethanol-Driven Biomarker Panel for Identifying Individuals With Steatotic Liver Disease and Excessive Alcohol Use.

Federica Tavaglione, Juan Vaz, Oveis Jamialahmadi, Luis Antonio Díaz, Veeral Ajmera, Darryl Contrano, Egbert Madamba, Seema Singh, Ricki Bettencourt, Lisa Richards and 2 more

Abstract readValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Gastroenterology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Missed Diagnosis in Alcohol-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Call for Alcohol Consumption and Liver Disease Early Detection.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Federica TavaglioneMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Juan VazDepartment of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Oveis JamialahmadiDepartment of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, Wallenberg Laboratory, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Luis Antonio DíazMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California; Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Veeral AjmeraMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Darryl ContranoMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Egbert MadambaMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Seema SinghMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Ricki BettencourtMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Lisa RichardsMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California.
Hannes HagströmDepartment of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Unit of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI Disease, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Rohit LoombaMASLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California; School of Public Health, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California. Electronic address: roloomba@health.ucsd.edu.

Funding

UC San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR001442 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S, HOGARTH, MICHAEL · 2015 to 2024
$88.3M
Pediatric Trials in Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH)U01DK061734 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ROHIT LOOMBA · 2002 to 2026
$24.4M
Tissue-specific roles of FXR in CVD and NASHP01HL147835 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI EVANS, RONALD M · 2020 to 2024
$12.2M
San Diego Digestive Diseases Research CenterP30DK120515 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LARS ECKMANN, Bernd G. Schnabl · 2019 to 2026
$10.8M
HIV MASLD Clinical Research Network (HCRN)R01DK121378 · NIDDK · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI NAGA P CHALASANI, ROHIT LOOMBA · 2020 to 2026
$8.7M
Novel IL-23 inhibitor for the treatment of alcohol associated liver diseaseU01AA029019 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KISSELEVA, TATIANA, LOOMBA, ROHIT · 2020 to 2024
$3.7M
QUS Technology for Diagnosis and Grading of Hepatic Steatosis in NAFLDR01DK106419 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LOOMBA, ROHIT, SIRLIN, CLAUDE B · 2015 to 2019
$3.4M
San Diego Cirrhosis Clinical Research NetworkU01DK130190 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ROHIT LOOMBA · 2021 to 2026
$2.3M
Non-invasive screening of diabetics for advanced fibrosis due to NAFLDR01DK124318 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LOOMBA, ROHIT · 2020 to 2022
$1.7M
A Novel Multimodal Approach to Characterize NAFLD Severity and PrognosisK23DK119460 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI AJMERA, VEERAL HARESH · 2019 to 2023
$1.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001442NHLBI NIH HHS P01 HL147835NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA029019NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK119460NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK120515NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK106419NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK121378NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK124318NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061734NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK130190
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsPhosphatidylethanol (PEth) is a direct, objective alcohol biomarker for detecting excessive alcohol use in steatotic liver disease, including metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-associated liver disease (MetALD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). However, its use in routine clinical practice may be limited by cost and accessibility. This study aimed to develop a novel, accurate, and scalable indirect alcohol biomarker panel to screen for MetALD-ALD in general population settings.

methodsThe derivation cohort consisted of 503 community-dwelling adults with overweight/obesity and steatotic liver disease residing in Southern California, all of whom prospectively underwent magnetic resonance imaging/magnetic resonance elastography assessment and PEth testing. The optimal predictive model was developed using bidirectional stepwise logistic regression and internally validated using 2000 bootstrap samples. The outcome was the presence of MetALD-ALD, defined by incorporating PEth. Model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). External validation was conducted in an independent, population-based Swedish cohort of 1777 individuals with available PEth measurements.

resultsIn the derivation cohort, the mean (standard deviation) age and body mass index were 51 (13) years and 32.9 (5.8) kg/m

conclusionsMAPI is a novel, accurate, and scalable biomarker panel for detecting MetALD-ALD. MAPI may guide confirmatory PEth testing in clinical practice and be leveraged in observational cohort studies lacking PEth measurements, as well as in clinical trials.

Indexed as

Fatty Liver, AlcoholicGlycerophospholipidsAdultBiomarkersCaliforniaElasticity Imaging TechniquesFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedObesityPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsBiomarkersGlycerophospholipidsphosphatidylethanolALDBiomarkersEthanolMetALDNAFLD

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.