Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41736119›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgical oncology2026

Development of a predictive model for pathological complete response following neoadjuvant immunotherapy and chemotherapy in locally advanced resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Yilei Zhang, Hounai Xie, Deguo Zhang, Yujuan Liu, Shuaiming Fu, Yongkui Yu, Wei Ma

Abstract read
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Article in World journal of surgical oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yilei Zhang *Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 324 Jingwu Road, Jinan, 250021, China.
Hounai Xie *Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 324 Jingwu Road, Jinan, 250021, China.
Deguo Zhang *Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 324 Jingwu Road, Jinan, 250021, China.
Yujuan LiuShandong First Medical University, No. 6699 Qingdao Road, Jinan, 250117, China.
Shuaiming FuDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 324 Jingwu Road, Jinan, 250021, China.
Yongkui YuDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Henan Cancer Hospital, NO.127 Dongming Road, Zhengzhou, 450008, China.
Wei MaDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, 324 Jingwu Road, Jinan, 250021, China. mw5088@163.com.

Funding

Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province ZR2023QH558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNeoadjuvant immunotherapy and chemotherapy (nICT) has demonstrated substantial therapeutic efficacy in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC). This study aimed to develop a model to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) following neoadjuvant therapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

methodsIn total, 517 patients with LA-ESCC from two hospitals who underwent nICT or chemotherapy were enrolled between July 2018 and June 2025. The patients were subsequently divided into training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts. All patients received chemotherapy or the same chemotherapy regimen in combination with immunotherapy; both regimens were administered every 3 weeks for 2–4 cycles. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of pCR. The predictive performance of the nomograms was further assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, decision curve analysis curves, and clinical impact curves.

resultsAmong the patients included in the study, 29.21% achieved pCR. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that independent risk factors for pCR included differentiation, treatment type, preoperative albumin level, pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and pretreatment lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio. The numbers 1 after the abbreviations represent pretreatment, and 2 represent preoperative values, respectively. The AUC was 0.809 for the training group, 0.786 for the internal validation group, and 0.806 for the external validation group.

conclusionsThis model demonstrated good predictive performance for pCR following neoadjuvant therapy in patients with ESCC based on a multicenter database, supporting clinical decision-making and personalized treatment strategies.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaImmunotherapyNeoadjuvant TherapyNomogramsAgedEsophagectomyFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPathologic Complete ResponsePrognosisRetrospective Studiesesophageal squamous cell carcinomaimmunotherapyneoadjuvant therapynomogrampathologic complete response

Identifiers

PMID41736119
PMCPMC13040722

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.