Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41735742›Full record

SynthesisJournal of gastrointestinal cancer2026

The Role of PD-L1 Expression as a Predictive Biomarker in Esophageal Cancer: a Meta-Analysis.

Acquah Theophilus, Zakari Shaibu, Jie Ma

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of gastrointestinal cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Acquah TheophilusSchool of Medicine, Jiangsu University, No.301 Xuefu Road, Jiangsu, 212013, Zhenjiang, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9115-845X
Zakari ShaibuSchool of Medicine, Jiangsu University, No.301 Xuefu Road, Jiangsu, 212013, Zhenjiang, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2318-5936
Jie MaSchool of Medicine, Jiangsu University, No.301 Xuefu Road, Jiangsu, 212013, Zhenjiang, China. jsdxmajie@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5205-9624

Funding

Jiangsu Social Development Project BE2022779National Natural Science Foundation of China 32270964Science and Technology Planning Social Development Project of Zhenjiang City SH2021027
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProgrammed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression has emerged as a potential predictive biomarker for immunotherapy response in esophageal cancer (EC). However, its clinical utility as a biomarker is influenced by variability in detection methods, scoring systems, and positivity thresholds, leading to inconsistent interpretations across studies. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the role of PD-L1 expression as a predictive biomarker in EC.

methodsA systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Google Scholar, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science up to November 6, 2024. Studies evaluating PD-L1 expression in EC and its correlation with survival outcomes were included. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random- or fixed-effects models. Study registration: Prospero ID ( CRD420251046175).

resultsThe meta-analysis included 31 studies (5,121 patients). The pooled analysis revealed a significant association between high PD-L1 expression and worse overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.11–3.17, P = 0.02). However, this result was accompanied by extreme heterogeneity (I² = 98%, P < 0.00001). For disease-free survival (DFS), a secondary analysis demonstrated a trend toward poorer outcomes with PD-L1 positivity (HR = 1.44, 95% CI: 0.97–2.14, P = 0.08), though statistical significance was not reached. Substantial heterogeneity was observed (I² = 82%).

conclusionThis analysis suggests an association between high PD-L1 expression and worse OS in EC. However, the extreme heterogeneity observed, likely stemming from variability in PD-L1 assessment methods and patient populations, indicates that this relationship is context-dependent and not universally generalizable. These findings highlight the urgent need for standardized evaluation protocols to establish PD-L1 as a reliable prognostic marker in clinical practice.

Indexed as

B7-H1 AntigenBiomarkers, TumorEsophageal NeoplasmsHumansPrognosisB7-H1 AntigenBiomarkers, TumorCD274 protein, humanEsophageal cancerEsophageal squamous cell carcinomaMeta-AnalysisPD-L1 expressionPredictive biomarkerPrognosis

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.