Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41728198›Full record

ArticleBMJ neurology open2026

Aotearoa New Zealand's neurologist workforce: a 2024 analysis of demand, supply and projections.

Anna Ranta, John Mottershead, Sarah M Buchanan, Calvin Chan, Nicholas Child, Evan Jolliffe, Miriam Rodrigues, Janice Kang, Matthew C L Phillips, Nicholas Cutfield and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ neurology open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Anna RantaMedicine, University of Otago - Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3223-3330
John MottersheadNeurology, Te Whatu Ora Health New Zealand Southern, Dunedin, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5638-8786
Sarah M BuchananNeurology, Te Whatu Ora Health New Zealand Southern, Dunedin, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9175-936X
Calvin ChanMedicine, University of Otago - Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Nicholas ChildNeurology, Te Whatu Ora Health New Zealand Waitemata, Auckland, New Zealand.
Evan JolliffeMedicine, University of Otago - Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Miriam RodriguesMedicine, University of Auckland - City Campus, Auckland, New Zealand.
Janice KangMedicine, University of Otago - Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-1049-0866
Matthew C L PhillipsMedicine, University of Auckland - City Campus, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4183-7766
Nicholas CutfieldNeurology, Te Whatu Ora Health New Zealand Southern, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Jennifer TaylorMedicine, University of Otago - Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
John FinkNeurology, Te Whatu Ora Health New Zealand Waitaha Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.
Peter Alan BarberMedicine, University of Auckland - City Campus, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2469-9023

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aims: To describe the Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) neurology workforce, estimate neurology capacity, trends over time and future projections to assist with health sector planning. Methods: 2024 neurology workforce demographics, capacity and productivity were derived from multiple overlapping data sources including a nationwide individual neurologist and public hospital neurology unit head surveys, Health NZ and Royal Australasian College of Physicians data, and annual survey data from the Australian and New Zealand Association of Neurologists. Neurological service demand was assessed using epidemiological data, prior reported demand models and considered local practice patterns. Comparisons were made to our 2014 NZ report, Australian and international data. Projections were made modelling several scenarios. Results: In 2024, there were 83 individual neurologists in NZ providing 67.3 full-time equivalents (FTEs) including 52.6 public adult, 8.3 paediatric and 6.4 private neurology FTE. The public sector FTE compared with 36 FTE in 2014. The combined adult headcount equates to 1 neurologist per 74 604 people (1.34/100 000) compared with Australia where there is 1 neurologist per 41 000 people (2.77/100 000) and 1 in 14 000 (7.1/100 000) in other high-income countries around the globe. A recent Australian workforce model estimated a minimum demand of 1 neurologist per 28 000 based on updated neurological disease and best-practice management requirements. If current training, recruitment, retention and practice patterns persist, projections indicate there will be a gradual worsening in the NZ neurology workforce over time. Conclusions: The NZ neurology workforce has increased over the past 10 years, but NZ ranks well below other high-income countries globally, and demand continues to significantly exceed supply. This remains true, even after adjusting for NZ practice patterns which favour generalist over subspecialist care. If current trends continue, the gap is expected to widen rather than narrow over the next 12 years.

Indexed as

AdultAustraliaChildDeveloped CountriesInformation SourcesNeurologistsNeurologyNew ZealandPractice ManagementPublic SectorWorkforce

Identifiers

PMID41728198
PMCPMC12918667

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.