Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41721741›Full record

ArticleAging cell2026

Epigenetic Clocks of Biological Aging and Risk of Incident Mild Cognitive Impairment and Dementia: The Women's Health Initiative Memory Study.

Steve Nguyen, Ake T Lu, Steve Horvath, Mark A Espeland, Stephen R Rapp, Adam X Maihofer, Caroline M Nievergelt, Andrea Z LaCroix, Linda K McEvoy, Susan M Resnick and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Aging cell, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Blood DNA Methylation Predicts Long-Term Risk of Dementia in Prospective Cohorts.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Epigenetic clocks and longitudinal plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Steve NguyenHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Ake T LuAltos Labs, San Diego, California, USA.
Steve HorvathAltos Labs, San Diego, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4110-3589
Mark A EspelandDivision of Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, School of Medicine, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
Stephen R RappDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
Adam X MaihoferDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Caroline M NievergeltDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Andrea Z LaCroixHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Linda K McEvoyKaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Susan M ResnickLaboratory of Behavioral Neuroscience, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Kenneth BeckmanGenomics Center, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
Aladdin H ShadyabHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.

Funding

WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE - CLINICAL COORDINATING CENTER: TASK AREA B - LONG LIFE STUDY VISIT 2 LIMITED HOME VISIT75N92021D00001 · NHLBI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI ANDERSON, GARNET L. · 2021 to 2025
$52.0M
Wake Forest University School of Medicine Alzheimer's Disease Research CenterP30AG072947 · NIA · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SUZANNE CRAFT · 2021 to 2026
$24.3M
Sedentary Behaviour Interrupted: Acute, medium and long-term effects on biomarkers of healthy aging, physical function and mortalityP01AG052352 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI KERR, JACQUELINE · 2017 to 2022
$9.0M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC): TASK AREA A AND A275N92021D00002 · NHLBI · STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO · PI WACTAWSKI-WENDE, JEAN · 2021 to 2025
$6.9M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC) - TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) AND REVISE CONTRACT ARTICLES.75N92021D00004 · NHLBI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI STEFANICK, MARCIA · 2021 to 2025
$6.5M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC) - TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) AND REVISE CONTRACT ARTICLES.75N92021D00003 · NHLBI · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI JACKSON, REBECCA · 2021 to 2025
$5.0M
Objective Physical Activity and Cardiovascular Health in Women Aged 80 and OlderR01HL105065 · NHLBI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI LACROIX, ANDREA Z. · 2011 to 2014
$5.0M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC) - TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) AND REVISE CONTRACT ARTICLES.75N92021D00005 · NHLBI · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI VITOLINS, MARA · 2021 to 2025
$4.2M
Epigenetic Aging Biomarkers of Mild Cognitive Impairment, Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias, and Brain AgingR01AG074345 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SHADYAB, ALADDIN · 2024 to 2025
$1.1M
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00001NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00002NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00003NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00004NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00005NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL105065NIA NIH HHS 1K99AG082863-02NIA NIH HHS P01 AG052352NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072947NIA NIH HHS R01AG074345
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aging is the strongest risk factor for dementia; however, few studies have examined the association of biological aging with incident dementia. We analyzed 6069 cognitively unimpaired women (mean age = 70.0 ± 3.8 years) in the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study to examine the association of accelerated biological aging, measured with second and third-generation epigenetic clocks (AgeAccelPheno and AgeAccelGrim2, and DunedinPACE, respectively) with incident mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and probable dementia. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, education, race, ethnicity, smoking, hormone therapy regimen, physical activity, body mass index, and estimated white blood cell counts. For comparison, we also examined first-generation epigenetic clocks (AgeAccelHorvath; AgeAccelHannum). We evaluated effect modification by age, race/ethnicity, hormone therapy regimen, menopause type (natural vs. surgical), and APOE ε4 carriage. There were 1307 incident MCI or probable dementia events over a median follow-up of 9.3 (25th percentile = 6.1, 75th percentile = 16.1) years. The adjusted HRs (95% CI; p-value) for incident MCI/probable dementia per one-standard deviation increment were 1.07 (1.01-1.15; p = 0.03) for DunedinPACE, 1.11 (1.02-1.20; p = 0.01) for AgeAccelGrim2, and 1.01 (0.95-1.07; p = 0.74) for AgeAccelPheno. Only AgeAccelGrim2 remained significant under the Bonferroni-corrected threshold for significance (p < 0.02). Other epigenetic clocks were not associated with incident MCI/probable dementia. There was no effect modification in most subgroup analyses (p-interaction ≥ 0.05). In this cohort study of older women, accelerated biological aging measured by AgeAccelGrim2 was associated with higher risk of incident MCI/probable dementia. These findings provide evidence linking epigenetic biomarkers of biological aging with MCI and dementia development, independent of chronological age.

Indexed as

AgingCognitive DysfunctionDementiaEpigenesis, GeneticAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceRisk FactorsWomen's Healthagingbiomarkerscohort studiesdementiaepigenomics

Identifiers

PMID41721741
PMCPMC12928021

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.