Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41713439›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2026

Avoidable deaths through the primary prevention, early detection, and curative treatment of cancer worldwide: a population-based study.

Oliver Langselius, Harriet Rumgay, Jérôme Vignat, Hadrien Charvat, Mark J Rutherford, Allini Mafra, Eileen Morgan, Mengmeng Li, Luz M Sánchez-Romero, Kate Simms and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The logarithmic phase as a therapeutic direction: evaluating pharmacological strategies against cancer progression.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Review
  2. Cancer Science Education is Advancing, but Not Everywhere.Journal of cancer education : the official journal of the American Association for Cancer Education · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Oliver LangseliusCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France; Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany; Pettenkofer School of Public Health, Munich, Germany. Electronic address: langseliuso@iarc.who.int.
Harriet RumgayCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Jérôme VignatCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Hadrien CharvatCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Mark J RutherfordCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France; Biostatistics Research Group, Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Allini MafraCancer Epidemiology and Prevention Group, Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Strassen, Luxembourg.
Eileen MorganCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Mengmeng LiState Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China.
Luz M Sánchez-RomeroOncology, Georgetown University Medical Center, Washington, DC, USA.
Kate SimmsThe Daffodil Centre, a joint venture between Cancer Council New South Wales and the University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Freddie BrayCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Isabelle SoerjomataramCancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGlobal disparities exist in cancer incidence, mortality, and survival. We aimed to provide estimates of avoidable deaths among people diagnosed with cancer to inform the prioritisation of interventions and narrow cancer inequalities.

methodsNational incidence estimates for 35 cancer sites in 2022 for 185 countries were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database. We estimated numbers of avoidable deaths within 5 years of diagnosis for patients diagnosed with cancer in 2022, consisting of those deaths avoidable through primary prevention (preventable deaths) and those avoidable through early detection and improved access to treatment (treatable deaths) by cancer site, country, region, and human development index (HDI) group. Preventable deaths were estimated using population attributable fractions for tobacco use, alcohol consumption, excess body weight, infectious agents, and ultraviolet radiation obtained from the literature. Treatable deaths were estimated by eliminating survival differences using 5-year net survival from the SURVCAN-3 project and additional sources. Preventable, treatable, and overall avoidable deaths as proportions of the total expected deaths within 5 years of cancer diagnosis were also calculated.

findings5 years after cancer diagnosis, 4·5 million (47·6% [95% uncertainty interval 47·5-47·8]) of the 9·4 million expected deaths were avoidable. Of these avoidable deaths, 3·1 million (3·1-3·1; 33·2% [33·1-33·3] of total expected deaths) were preventable and 1·4 million (1·4-1·4; 14·4% [14·4-14·5]) were treatable. Lung, liver, stomach, colorectal, and cervical cancers contributed the greatest burden, collectively accounting for 59·1% of all avoidable deaths. Lung cancer was responsible for the most preventable deaths (1·1 million; 34·6% of all preventable deaths), while female breast cancer was responsible for the most treatable deaths (0·2 million; 14·8% of all treatable deaths). Disproportionately large proportions of avoidable deaths from cervical and breast cancer were observed in countries with a low or medium HDI.

interpretationNearly half of deaths among people diagnosed with cancer globally could be avoided through primary prevention and improvements in early detection and curative cancer treatment. Global efforts are needed to tailor prevention, early diagnosis, and treatment of cancer to address inequities in avoidable deaths, especially in low and medium HDI countries.

fundingErasmus Mundus Exchange Programme and French National Cancer Institute (INCa).

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerGlobal HealthNeoplasmsPrimary PreventionFemaleHumansIncidenceMale

Identifiers

PMID41713439
PMCPMC12920038

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.