Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41706503›Full record

SynthesisHarvard review of psychiatry

The Long-Term Mental Health Impact of Disasters: A Systematic Review and Multilevel Meta-Analysis of Longitudinal Epidemiological Studies.

Michel L A Dückers, Margaret S Stroebe, Christos Baliatsas, Peter Spreeuwenberg, Annelie Brüning, Katherine E Stroebe

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Harvard review of psychiatry. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Michel L A DückersFrom Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen (Drs. Dückers, MS Stroebe, and KE Stroebe, and Ms. Brüning), Netherlands.
Margaret S StroebeFrom Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen (Drs. Dückers, MS Stroebe, and KE Stroebe, and Ms. Brüning), Netherlands.
Christos BaliatsasNivel-Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht (Drs. Dückers and Baliatsas, and Mr. Spreeuwenberg), Netherlands.
Peter SpreeuwenbergNivel-Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht (Drs. Dückers and Baliatsas, and Mr. Spreeuwenberg), Netherlands.
Annelie BrüningFrom Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen (Drs. Dückers, MS Stroebe, and KE Stroebe, and Ms. Brüning), Netherlands.
Katherine E StroebeFrom Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen (Drs. Dückers, MS Stroebe, and KE Stroebe, and Ms. Brüning), Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Scientific research on the mental health effects of disasters has primarily focused on short-term consequences. This review aims to provide a long-term perspective, examining multiple contributing factors simultaneously. We registered this review (PROSPERO 2020, CRD42020108528), and searched Medline, PsycInfo, PTSDpubs, Web of Science, and SocINDEX from inception to July 2024. After screening 33,205 titles and abstracts, we extracted epidemiological longitudinal data from 71 studies, with up to six waves and a total of 137,004 participants. Disaster type (natural/human-made), category (e.g., earthquakes, floods, terrorist attacks), mental health outcome (e.g., posttraumatic stress disorder, depression, anxiety), population type (children/adolescents, adults), disaster year, measurement month, study quality, and country income were included in a multilevel meta-analysis. Pooled average prevalence of current or recent mental health problems was 22.1% (95% CI [10.95-39.57]). When controlling for the other factors, prevalence did not differ by disaster type, category, mental health outcome, population type, year, study quality, or country income. Despite high heterogeneity, the mental health burden in exposed populations decreased from month 1 to 300 after an initial peak in the first months, followed by a second peak after approximately a decade, before declining again ( p <0.001). Mental health burdens post-disaster may be more universally distributed than previously believed. Earlier studies identifying gradual post-disaster recovery may have underestimated the long-term effects. The analysis revealed a shortage of high-quality studies with measurements beyond four years. The topic requires further investigation with consistently repeated measurements at standard intervals to confirm the presence and early predictors of both larger and smaller peaks.

Indexed as

DisastersMental DisordersMental HealthHumansLongitudinal StudiesStress Disorders, Post-Traumaticepidemiologyhumansmental healthpublic healthsystematic review

Identifiers

PMID41706503
PMCPMC12962352

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.