Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41704719›Full record

ArticleERJ open research2026

Prognostic biomarkers for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: findings from ISABELA clinical trials.

Matthew J Randall, Claus A Andersen, Kevin K Brown, Simon de Bernard, Paul Ford, Naftali Kaminski, Michael Kreuter, Sharlene Lim, Toby M Maher, Niyati Prasad and 8 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ERJ open research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03711162 phase3terminatednot on this map

A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-blind, Parallel-group, Placebo-controlled Multicenter Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Two Doses of GLPG1690 in Addition to Local Standard of Care for Minimum 52 Weeks in Subjects With Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

TypeinterventionalSponsorLakefront Biotherapeutics NVRan2018 to 2021Enrolled525ConditionsIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisArmsGLPG1690, Placebo
NCT03733444 phase3terminatednot on this map

A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-blind, Parallel-group, Placebo-controlled, Multi-center Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Two Doses of GLPG1690 in Addition to Local Standard of Care for Minimum 52 Weeks in Subjects With Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

TypeinterventionalSponsorLakefront Biotherapeutics NVRan2018 to 2021Enrolled781ConditionsIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisArmsGLPG1690, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Matthew J RandallGalapagos GmbH, Basel, Switzerland.
Claus A AndersenGalapagos NV, Mechelen, Belgium.
Kevin K BrownDepartment of Medicine, National Jewish Health, Denver, CO, USA.
Simon de BernardAltraBio SAS, Lyon, France.
Paul FordGalapagos NV, Mechelen, Belgium.
Naftali KaminskiPulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5917-4601
Michael KreuterMainz Center for Pulmonary Medicine, Departments of Pneumology, Mainz University Medical Center and of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Marienhaus Clinic Mainz, Mainz, Germany.
Sharlene LimGilead Sciences, Inc., Foster City, CA, USA.
Toby M MaherKeck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7192-9149
Niyati PrasadGalapagos NV, Mechelen, Belgium.
Antje PrasseDepartment of Biomedicine, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7336-7458
Philippe PujuguetGalapagos SASU, Romainville, France.
Vincenzo TeneggiGalapagos GmbH, Basel, Switzerland.
Bernt van den BlinkGalapagos BV, Leiden, Netherlands.
Louise V WainDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, and NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4951-1867
Timothy R WatkinsGilead Sciences, Inc., Foster City, CA, USA.
Wim WuytsUniversity Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9648-3497
Yasmina BauerGalapagos GmbH, Basel, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is characterised by progressive loss of pulmonary function and poor survival. Although biomarkers for disease progression and mortality exist, their reliability in large studies remains unproven. This study investigates prognostic biomarkers from the ISABELA trials, the largest IPF cohort to date, to identify those predicting worse clinical outcomes. Methods: Plasma from 1280 IPF patients in ISABELA 1 and 2 (NCT03711162, NCT03733444) was analysed for 17 circulating soluble disease-related biomarkers at multiple time-points and for the Results: Patients with ≥10% annual decline in FVC had higher median baseline of matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) Conclusions: We provide new insights into the prognostic value of MMP-7 and CCL18 in identifying high-risk IPF patients in the largest cohort to date. The combination of high baseline MMP-7 and CCL18 levels, along with longitudinal changes in CCL18, has the potential to enhance risk stratification and support efficacy assessment and monitoring in clinical trials.

Identifiers

PMID41704719
PMCPMC12907809

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.