Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41697954›Full record

Trial reportEuropean heart journal. Cardiovascular pharmacotherapy2026

A Bayesian analysis of finerenone in heart failure with mildly reduced and preserved ejection fraction: a pre-specified analysis of FINEARTS-HF.

Alasdair D Henderson, Kieran F Docherty, Atefeh Talebi, Toru Kondo, Mark C Petrie, Brian L Claggett, Akshay S Desai, Muthiah Vaduganathan, John J Atherton, Johan Bauersachs and 15 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in European heart journal. Cardiovascular pharmacotherapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04435626 (A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blind, Parallel-group, Placebo-controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Finerenone on Morbidity and Mortality in Participants With Heart Failure), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04435626 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blind, Parallel-group, Placebo-controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Finerenone on Morbidity and Mortality in Participants With Heart Failure (NYHA II-IV) and Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction ≥ 40% (LVEF ≥ 40%)

TypeinterventionalSponsorBayerRan2020 to 2024Enrolled6,016ConditionsHeart FailureArmsFinerenone (BAY94-8862), Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Innovation and constraints in cardiovascular pharmacotherapy.European heart journal. Cardiovascular pharmacotherapy · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Alasdair D HendersonBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8903-4906
Kieran F DochertyBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5446-9969
Atefeh TalebiBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.
Toru KondoBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.
Mark C PetrieBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6333-9496
Brian L ClaggettCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Akshay S DesaiCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Muthiah VaduganathanCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0885-1953
John J AthertonDepartment of Cardiology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, University of Queensland Faculty of Medicine, Brisbane 4029, Australia.
Johan BauersachsDepartment of Cardiology and Angiology, Hannover Medical School, Hannover 30625, Germany.
Morten SchouDepartment of Cardiology, Herlev-Gentofte University Hospital, Hellerup 2900, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-4271-2466
Subodh VermaDivision of Cardiac Surgery, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto M5B 1W8, Canada.
Carolyn S P LamNational Heart Centre Singapore & Duke-National University of Singapore, Singapore 169609, Singapore.
Bertram PittSchool of Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5880-275X
Michele SenniSchool of Medicine & Surgery, University Bicocca Milan, Milan 20126, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5502-7882
Sanjiv J ShahDivision of Cardiology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Adriaan A VoorsDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen, Groningen 9713 GZ, Netherlands.
Faiez ZannadInserm Clinical Investigation Centre, CHU, Université de Lorraine, Nancy 54500, France.
Meike BrinkerResearch & Development, Pharmaceuticals, Bayer AG, Wuppertal 42096, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1560-9535
Flaviana AmaranteCardiology and Nephrology Clinical Development, Bayer SA, São Paulo 04779-900, Brazil.
Katja RohwedderGlobal Medical Affairs, Berlin 13353, Germany.
James Lay-FlurrieResearch & Development, Pharmaceuticals, Bayer plc, Reading RG2 6AD, UK.
Scott D SolomonCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
John J V McMurrayBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.
Pardeep S JhundBHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4306-5317

Funding

Bayer AG
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe non-steroidal mineralocorticoid receptor agonist (MRA) finerenone reduced heart failure events and cardiovascular death in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction (HFmrEF/HFpEF) in a frequentist analysis of the FINEARTS-HF trial. We applied Bayesian methods including prior information to provide probabilistic estimates of efficacy and safety. The aim of this study was to estimate the probability of different magnitudes of treatment benefit with finerenone vs. placebo using Bayesian analysis of FINEARTS-HF. METHODS AND

resultsIn this pre-specified Bayesian analysis, we estimated treatment efficacy incorporating prior information in a robust meta-analytic predictive (MAP) prior using data from two finerenone trials (FIDELIO-DKD and FIGARO-DKD) and a steroidal MRA spironolactone (TOPCAT). We compared results using vague priors and informative MAP priors. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death and total heart failure events. Among 6001 patients, Bayesian analysis with vague priors confirmed the frequentist results of a reduction in the rate of the primary outcome [RR 0.83; 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.74-0.94]. Incorporating prior evidence increased the posterior probability of a ≥ 10% reduction in the primary event rate from 90% to 92%. The probability that finerenone reduced cardiovascular death was 80% (HR 0.93, 95% CrI: 0.79-1.10), and all-cause mortality was 85% (HR 0.94, 95% CrI: 0.83-1.06). Finerenone increased the probability of hyperkalaemia and decreased the probability of hypokalaemia.

conclusionThe non-steroidal MRA finerenone reduced the rate of cardiovascular death and total heart failure events under both frequentist and Bayesian inference methods. The probability of benefit exceeded 80% for both cardiovascular and all-cause mortality with finerenone. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04435626.

Indexed as

Heart FailureMineralocorticoid Receptor AntagonistsNaphthyridinesStroke VolumeVentricular Function, LeftAgedBayes TheoremFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsTime FactorsTreatment OutcomefinerenoneMineralocorticoid Receptor AntagonistsNaphthyridinesBayesianFinerenoneHeart failure with preserved ejection fractionMineralocorticoid receptor antagonist

Identifiers

PMID41697954
PMCPMC13185745

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.