Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41697581›Full record

ArticleBreast cancer (Tokyo, Japan)2026

Prognostic model for pulmonary metastasis in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer: a population-based study.

Jun Pang, Bingbing Huang, Wanying Yan, Huijun He, Nvzhu Liao, Wenna Sun, Yaoquan Li, Lishan Luo, Wei Zeng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast cancer (Tokyo, Japan), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jun Pang *Department of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-8446-9071
Bingbing Huang *Department of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-6172-3701
Wanying YanDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-9283-0738
Huijun HeDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-4787-6734
Nvzhu LiaoDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-0192-5130
Wenna SunDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-8935-3687
Yaoquan LiDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-1661-6677
Lishan LuoDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-1469-9666
Wei ZengDepartment of Breast Surgery,Shunde Women and Children's Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Foshan, 528300, China. ZW13250111008@outlook.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-7199-8605

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLung metastasis is an important adverse prognostic factor in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer. However, a lack of an accurate estimation of the prognosis of patients with lung metastasis and the validation of population-based models has been observed. In this study, we aimed to establish a nomogram based on the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database to determine the prognostic factors associated with lung metastasis and evaluate the individualized survival of patients with lung metastasis.

methodsThis study included 613 patients diagnosed with HER2-positive breast cancer with lung metastasis (HER2 + BC-LM) from the SEER database and randomly divided them into two groups: (1) training group (n = 432) and (2) test group (n = 181). Based on the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, we assessed the impact of multiple variables on the survival of the patients in the training group and constructed a nomogram to predict the survival probabilities of the patients at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years. Furthermore, the nomogram was validated by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots.

resultsA prognostic model for predicting the prognosis of patients with HER2 + BC-LM was established and validated. For the patients diagnosed with HER2 + BC-LM, the C-index (0.813 in the training group and 0.787 in the validation group, respectively) and calibration plots revealed that the prognostic accuracy and clinical applicability of the nomogram were acceptable. The surgical resection of the primary tumor and chemotherapy were found to be significantly associated with better overall survival (OS).

conclusionA sensitive and discriminatory model was established to predict the OS of patients with HER2 + BC-LM.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesLung NeoplasmsNomogramsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPrognosisSEER ProgramERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesHER2-positive breast cancerLung metastasisNomogramPrognosisSEER database

Identifiers

PMID41697581
PMCPMC12960348

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.