Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41691615›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2026

Less Restrictive Medicaid Policies for Direct-Acting Antiviral Access Are Associated With Greater Declines in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Deaths.

Gabriel V Lupu, Bhagyashree Behera, A Sidney Barritt, Sasha Deutsch-Link, Jane Giang, Ellen W Green, Oren K Fix, Neil D Shah, Hersh Shroff, Andrew M Moon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Gabriel V LupuDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3135-2161
Bhagyashree BeheraDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.
A Sidney BarrittDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.
Sasha Deutsch-LinkDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0923-4300
Jane GiangDepartment of Pharmacy, The University of North Carolina Health, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.
Ellen W GreenDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2083-522X
Oren K FixDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.
Neil D ShahDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.
Hersh ShroffDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.
Andrew M MoonDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina, Chapel hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7163-2062

Funding

DIGESTIVE DISEASES EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING PROGRAMT32DK007634 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT S. SANDLER · 1990 to 2026
$7.4M
NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007634NIH HHS T32 DK 007634
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn the United States (US), chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) is the leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) cure HCV and reduce HCC risk, but Medicaid DAA coverage varies across states.

aimWe assessed whether Medicaid DAA access was associated with trends in HCC-related deaths.

methodsWe analyzed CDC WONDER death certificate data (1999-2023) to assess HCC-related mortality. US states were grouped based on Medicaid DAA prior authorization restrictions using the Hepatitis C: State of Medicaid Access scoring system: A+/A (n = 28), B (n = 11), and C/D (n = 12). We used NCI Joinpoint software to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) in age-adjusted death rate. State-specific HCC crude death rates were analyzed before and after 2014, alongside changes in Medicaid DAA policies from 2014 to 2024.

resultsBefore 2017, HCC-related death rates were positive in group A + /A (APC 2.01, 1999-2017), group B (APC 3.40, 1999-2009), and group C/D (APC 2.04, 1999-2023). Age-adjusted death rates became negative in group A+/A states (APC -0.19, 2017-2023), while death rates continued to be positive for group B states (APC 1.49, 2009-2023) and group C/D states (APC 2.04, 2017-2023). The AAPC (1999-2023) was lowest in group A + /A (1.46), followed by group B (2.28) and C/D (2.04). From 2014 to 2024 accessibility to DAAs improved.

conclusionIncreased DAA access was associated with reduced HCC-related death rates. Improved HCV treatment could contribute to decreased HCC incidence and recurrence, enhance linkage to subspecialty care, and prevent liver-related decompensation.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsCarcinoma, HepatocellularHealth Services AccessibilityHepatitis C, ChronicLiver NeoplasmsMedicaidFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited StatesAntiviral Agentsepidemiologyhepatitis Chepatocellular carcinomalivermedicaidoutcomes research

Identifiers

PMID41691615
PMCPMC12906772

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.