ArticleArchives of gynecology and obstetrics2026
Geographic variation in supply, demand, and adequacy of the obstetrics and gynecology physician workforce: forecasts and shortage risks in the United States.
Article in Archives of gynecology and obstetrics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
purposeThis study assessed geographic variations in the supply, demand, and adequacy of the United States (US) obstetrics and gynecology physician (OGP) workforce.
methodsThis was a cross-sectional analysis of OGPs using the Health Workforce Simulation Model. Supply and demand were defined as the numbers of full-time equivalent (FTE) OGPs working and needed, respectively. Adequacy was defined as the ratio of supply to demand. Comparisons were made using Chi-squared tests, and linear regression was used to analyze OGP workforce trends.
resultsFrom 2025 to 2037, the demand for OGPs is projected to increase (52,620-54,020 FTEs, 2.7% increase, p < 0.001) while the supply of OGPs is projected to decrease (49,170-44,130 FTEs, 10.3% decrease, p < 0.001). As a result, OGP workforce adequacy is projected to decrease over the study period from 93.4% to 81.7% (P < 0.001). By 2037, the West had the lowest OGP workforce adequacy and the Northeast had the highest adequacy (74.4% vs 98.6%, P < 0.001). Non-metropolitan areas were projected to have lower OGP workforce adequacy than metropolitan areas (51.4% vs 85.1%, p < 0.001). The states with the lowest projected OGP workforce adequacy were Utah (49.3%), Idaho (51.5%), and Arizona (58.3%) in 2037.
conclusionOGP workforce supply is expected to fall short of anticipated demand, with uneven geographic distribution across the US. Addressing this imbalance will require strategic planning to expand the OGP workforce equitably, especially in non-metropolitan areas, the West, and certain identified states like Utah and Idaho.
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