Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41690133›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of radiology2026

Interobserver variability of recall decisions between mammography readers in the English NHS breast screening programme: A comparison of interobserver variability measures.

Laura Quinn, David Jenkinson, Sian Taylor-Phillips, Yemisi Takwoingi, Alice Sitch

Abstract readComparative StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of radiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Laura QuinnDepartment of Applied Health Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, UK. Electronic address: l.quinn@bham.ac.uk.
David JenkinsonSchool of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, UK; Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Sian Taylor-PhillipsDivision of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Yemisi TakwoingiDepartment of Applied Health Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, UK.
Alice SitchDepartment of Applied Health Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo evaluate interobserver variability between mammogram readers' recall decisions in the English NHS breast screening programme, comparing different variability measures.

methodsData from 401,682 women in 22 NHS centres who underwent mammographic screening interpreted independently by two mammogram readers were included. Percentage agreement, prevalence-adjusted bias-adjusted-kappa (PABAK), Gwet's agreement coefficient (Gwet's AC) and Cohen's kappa were reported with 95% confidence intervals. Analyses were performed separately for women at first and subsequent screening appointments, by cancer diagnosis, reader recall rates and age group.

resultsOf 86,287 women at first screening, 6,491 (7.5%) were recalled, compared to 9,488 (3.0%) of 315,395 at subsequent screenings. Percentage agreement, Gwet's AC, and PABAK were lower for first screening than subsequent (93.6%, 95%CI: 93.4-93.7 vs 97.2%, 95%CI: 97.2-97.3), (92.3, 95%CI:92.1 to 92.5 vs 97.0, 95% CI: 97.0 to 97.1) and (87.2, 95%CI: 86.9-87.4 vs 94.4, 95%CI: 94.3-94.5), whereas Cohen's kappa, which is biased downwards when prevalence of recall is lower, did not change (61.6, 95%CI: 60.7-62.5 vs 61.8, 95%CI: 61.0-62.5). Percentage agreement, Gwet's AC, and PABAK were lower for women with cancer detected than without, but Cohen's kappa showed the opposite pattern, driven by prevalence bias. Percentage agreement, Gwet's AC, and PABAK were lower when one/both readers had high recall rates, but Cohen's kappa showed no important pattern.

conclusionsPercentage agreement, Gwet's AC, and PABAK showed lower agreement for interpreting the more challenging first screen, without assistance of previous mammograms, when women had cancer and when one/both readers had a high recall rate. Cohen's kappa was heavily distorted by outcome prevalence. Despite widespread use, Cohen's kappa is inappropriate for low prevalence settings such as screening, or making comparisons when prevalence varies.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerMammographyMass ScreeningAgedEnglandFemaleHumansMiddle AgedObserver VariationPrevalenceReproducibility of ResultsSensitivity and SpecificityState MedicineUnited KingdomBreast cancerMammographyObserver variation

Identifiers

PMID41690133
PMCPMC12978086

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.