Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41676992›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2026

Exposure to lead and incidence of Alzheimer's disease and all-cause dementia in the United States.

Xin Wang, Kelly M Bakulski, Erika Walker, Bhramar Mukherjee, Hiroko Dodge, Roger L Albin, Henry L Paulson, Sung Kyun Park

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Perinatal lead (Pb) exposure and alterations to amyloid beta and metabolic profiles in the brain.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Exposure to lead and incidence of Alzheimer's disease and all-cause dementia in the United States.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Xin WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Kelly M BakulskiDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Erika WalkerDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Bhramar MukherjeeDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Hiroko DodgeMassachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Roger L AlbinMichigan Alzheimer Disease Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Henry L PaulsonMichigan Alzheimer Disease Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Sung Kyun ParkDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9981-6250

Funding

Research Education ComponentP30AG072931 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Kelly Bakulski · 2021 to 2026
$26.5M
Strategic Vision & Impact on Environmental HealthP30ES017885 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Dana Dolinoy · 2011 to 2026
$21.3M
The Study of the Environment and Alzheimer's disease and related Dementias (SEAD)R01AG070897 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BAKULSKI, KELLY, PARK, SUNG KYUN · 2021 to 2025
$3.4M
Metals Exposure, Dementia, and Longitudinal Trajectories of Cognition, Functioning, and Neuropsychiatric SymptomsK01AG084821 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Xin Wang · 2024 to 2026
$361k
NIA NIH HHS K01 AG084821NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072931NIA NIH HHS R01 AG070897NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES017885
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionGrowing evidence suggests lead exposure may increase dementia risk, but evidence from human studies is limited. We investigated prospective associations between lead exposure and incident Alzheimer's disease (AD) and all-cause dementia in nationally-representative US populations.

methodsBaseline measured blood lead and estimated patella and tibia lead from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)-III (1988-1994, blood n = 6,217, bone n = 5,865) and continuous NHANES (1999-2016, blood n = 8,038, bone n = 4,824) were linked to Medicare and the National Death Index for incident AD and all-cause dementia, with up to 30 years of follow-up. Survey-weighted Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

resultsIn continuous NHANES, estimated patella lead was associated with AD (HR = 2.96, 95% CI:1.37-6.39) and all-cause dementia (HR = 2.15, 95% CI:1.33-3.46), comparing quartile-4 vs. quartile-1. We observed weaker associations in NHANES-III. Blood lead showed no association. DISCUSSION: These findings suggest cumulative lead as a potential dementia risk factor. HIGHLIGHTS: We examined Medicare-linked National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) on lead exposure and incident Alzheimer's disease (AD) and dementia. Lead exposure was assessed by blood lead and algorithm-estimated bone lead levels. High estimated patella lead was linked to increased all-cause dementia incidence. Dementia cases drop by 18% if all patella lead levels reduce to the 25

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseDementiaEnvironmental ExposureLeadAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysPatellaProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited StatesLeadAlzheimer's diseaseblood leadbone leaddementiaincidenceMedicareNHANESprospective cohort study

Identifiers

PMID41676992
PMCPMC12895363

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.