Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41675146›Full record

ArticleNature climate change2026

Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century.

Lander Van Tricht, Harry Zekollari, Matthias Huss, David R Rounce, Lilian Schuster, Rodrigo Aguayo, Patrick Schmitt, Fabien Maussion, Brandon Tober, Daniel Farinotti

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature climate change, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Lander Van TrichtLaboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7619-8955
Harry ZekollariDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-7443-4034
Matthias HussLaboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-2377-6923
David R RounceDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4481-4191
Lilian SchusterDepartment of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences (ACINN), Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-2101-2070
Rodrigo AguayoDepartment of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-2335-8470
Patrick SchmittDepartment of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences (ACINN), Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-7724-5979
Fabien MaussionBristol Glaciology Centre, School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3211-506X
Brandon ToberDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9010-1646
Daniel FarinottiLaboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3417-4570

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Projections of glacier change typically focus on mass and area loss, yet the disappearance of individual glaciers directly threatens culturally, spiritually and touristically significant landscapes. Here, using three global glacier models, we project a sharp rise in the number of glaciers disappearing worldwide, peaking between 2041 and 2055 with up to ~4,000 glaciers vanishing annually. Regional variability reflects differences in average glacier size, local climate, the magnitude of warming and inventory completeness.

Indexed as

Cryospheric scienceEnvironmental sciences

Identifiers

PMID41675146
PMCPMC12885942

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.